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AA Portuguesa U20 vs Aquidauanense U20

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AA Portuguesa U20 play Aquidauanense U20 in the Sul-Matogrossense U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, AA Portuguesa U20 averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Aquidauanense U20 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, AA Portuguesa U20 won 1, Aquidauanense U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 6, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for AA Portuguesa U20 and 1.88 for Aquidauanense U20. This points to a AA Portuguesa U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
AA Portuguesa U20
24%
Draws
30%
Aquidauanense U20
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: AA Portuguesa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • AA Portuguesa U20 picked up more points recently compared to Aquidauanense U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
AA Portuguesa U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Aquidauanense U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AA Portuguesa U20 Aquidauanense U20
Matches Played 8 14
Wins 3 3
Draws 1 4
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense U20
Aquidauanense U20 vs AA Portuguesa U20
1:1
Jun 22, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense U20
AA Portuguesa U20 vs Aquidauanense U20
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Portuguesa U20 43 / 100
Aquidauanense U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AA Portuguesa U20 Aquidauanense U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: AA Portuguesa U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AA Portuguesa U20 attacking → ← attacking Aquidauanense U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AA Portuguesa U20 scored in 88% of their last 8 games.

Aquidauanense U20 let in goals in 86% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

AA Portuguesa U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Aquidauanense U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 13
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1AA Portuguesa U20631212:810
2Comercial MS U20631213:1110
3Aquidauanense U20623115:109
4Corumbaense U2061147:184
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dourados U20633010:412
2Operario AC U2063217:411
3Ivinhema U2062139:127
4Sete de Dourados U2060241:72
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Gabriel MS U20651010:216
2Uniao ABC U2062225:78
3Novoperario U2062137:57
4Campo Grande U2061054:123