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AA Portuguesa W vs EC Flamengo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense Women
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Sul-Matogrossense Women. AA Portuguesa W go into this one as the clear favorite. AA Portuguesa W have averaged 7.69 scored and 0.94 conceded recently, against EC Flamengo W's 1 scored and 5 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 2.58 vs 0.92, favoring AA Portuguesa W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AA Portuguesa W
25%
Draws
35%
EC Flamengo W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: AA Portuguesa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AA Portuguesa W lately — more wins on the board than EC Flamengo W.
  • Model gives AA Portuguesa W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • AA Portuguesa W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57.8%
AA Portuguesa W Clean Sheet 20%
EC Flamengo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AA Portuguesa W EC Flamengo W
Matches Played 16 2
Wins 12 0
Draws 1 0
Losses 3 2
Goals Scored 7.69 1
Goals Conceded 0.94 5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.58 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Portuguesa W 85 / 100
EC Flamengo W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AA Portuguesa W EC Flamengo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AA Portuguesa W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AA Portuguesa W's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

EC Flamengo W let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.

AA Portuguesa W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

EC Flamengo W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AA Portuguesa W VS EC Flamengo W
3.5 Goals Scored 0.33
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

AA Portuguesa W

(Home)
27 Sept
AA Portuguesa W
22 : 0
URSO W
20 Sept
Atletico Santista W
0 : 10
AA Portuguesa W
06 Sept
URSO W
0 : 17
AA Portuguesa W
30 Aug
AA Portuguesa W
14 : 0
Atletico Santista W
06 Dec
CEFAC W
0 : 3
AA Portuguesa W
Page 1 of 4

EC Flamengo W

(Away)
13 Sept
EC Flamengo W
1 : 4
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis W
23 Aug
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis W
6 : 1
EC Flamengo W

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
EC Flamengo W -
AA Portuguesa W -
Atletico Santista W -
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis W -
Final
TBD -
TBD -