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Aalborg Chang vs Aarhus Fremad

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aalborg Chang play Aarhus Fremad in the Landspokal Cup 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aalborg Chang averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Aarhus Fremad averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Aalborg Chang won 1, Aarhus Fremad won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 27, 2013 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Aalborg Chang and 1.36 for Aarhus Fremad. This points to a Aalborg Chang double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Aalborg Chang
25%
Draws
34%
Aarhus Fremad
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Aalborg Chang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Aalborg Chang picked up more points recently compared to Aarhus Fremad.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Aalborg Chang Clean Sheet 18%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalborg Chang Aarhus Fremad
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 11
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2013 Betano Pokalen
Aalborg Chang vs Aarhus Fremad
4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalborg Chang 41 / 100
Aarhus Fremad 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalborg Chang Aarhus Fremad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aalborg Chang or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aalborg Chang attacking → ← attacking Aarhus Fremad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg Chang scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Aarhus Fremad let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Aalborg Chang went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Aarhus Fremad lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 38
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25