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Aalborg Chang vs Marstal/Rise Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Marstal/Rise advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aalborg Chang
15%
Draws
42%
Marstal/Rise
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalborg Chang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Marstal/Rise haven't matched Aalborg Chang's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Aalborg Chang have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Marstal/Rise, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Aalborg Chang Clean Sheet 10%
Marstal/Rise Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalborg Chang Marstal/Rise
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 0
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2009 Betano Pokalen
Aalborg Chang vs Marstal/Rise
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalborg Chang 30 / 100
Marstal/Rise 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalborg Chang Marstal/Rise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marstal/Rise's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 19 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Aalborg Chang's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Marstal/Rise lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalborg Chang VS Marstal/Rise
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalborg Chang

(Home)
06 Aug
Aalborg Chang
0 : 3
Skive
01 Sept
ASA Aarhus
4 : 0
Aalborg Chang
26 Sept
Aalborg Chang
1 : 7
Esbjerg
27 Aug
Aalborg Chang
4 : 3
Aarhus Fremad
13 Aug
Hojslev
1 : 6
Aalborg Chang
Page 1 of 6

Marstal/Rise

(Away)
02 Sept
Marstal/Rise
1 : 6
Aalborg
07 Aug
Marstal/Rise
3 : 2
Tved
04 Aug
Saedding/Guldager IF
3 : 2
Marstal/Rise
11 Sept
Marstal/Rise
2 : 6
Aarhus
06 Aug
Marstal/Rise
5 : 3
Kolding BK
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Midtjylland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
B 1908 1
Roskilde 0
Boldklubben 1973 Herlev 1
Bronshoj 5
Lyngby 1
Vanlose 0
Naestved IF 1
Nykobing 2
Slagelse 4
Dollefjelde-Musse 1
TBD -
Esbjerg -
Aalborg -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Fyn -
Holstebro 3
Viby 1
Nors BK 0
Thisted FC 7
Allerod 2
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 0
Valby BK 2
Svebolle 4
Kolding IF 6
Tommerup 0
Hadsund BK 3
Hobro 4
Koge -
TBD -
BK Glostrup Albertsund 0
BK Frem 1
Odder 2
Ringkobing 1
Vinding SF 1
Tved 2
Aarhus Fremad 6
Bjerringbro IF 0
TBD -
Djursland -
Aabenraa 3
Darum IF 0
Skovbakken 0
Brabrand 2
Randers FC -
TBD -
Saedding/Guldager IF 2
Otterup 3
Varde 2
Marienlyst 1
FC Campus 0
Vejen 1
Fredericia 6
Svendborg 1
Fjordager 3
Assens 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Odense -
Vejle 2
Naesby 0
HA85 Silkeborg 1
Horsens 7
Vaerlose 3
Osterbro IF 0
Virum-Sorgenfri BK 2
FB 3
Jammerbugt 2
Norre Uttrup & Bouet 1
Bruunshab/Tapdrup IF 1
Lindholm 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skjold 2
Gladsaxe-Hero 0
Bornholm 0
Helsingor 3
Hellerup 2
Skovlunde IF 1
Tuse IF 3
FC Lejre 4
Greve IF 2
Boldklubben 1893 1
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Silkeborg -
TBD -
Skive 0
Vendsyssel FF 3
Aalborg Chang 1
Tars/Ugilt IF 0
Stensballe IK 0
Marstal/Rise 3
Rishoj 3
B73 Slagelse 1
Hvidovre IF 2
Stenlose 3
Aarhus -
TBD -
Hirtshals BK 0
Viborg 3
AIK 65 Stroby 5
Frem Sakskobing 1
Ledoje-Smorum 0
Avedore 1
Avarta 11
Husum BK 1
AB Tarnby 0
Tarnby FF 2
AB Copenhagen 3
IF Foroyar 0
Egedal 0
Sollerod-Ved. 3
Ringsted 3
Nakskov 2
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
1/32-finals
Midtjylland -
TBD -
B 1908 1
Bronshoj 3
Lyngby 2
Nykobing 1
Slagelse 1
Esbjerg 2
Aalborg 3
FC Fyn 1
Holstebro 3
Thisted FC 5
Allerod 2
Svebolle 1
Kolding IF 1
Hobro 2
Koge 3
BK Frem 0
Odder 0
Tved 1
Aarhus Fremad 4
Djursland 3
Aabenraa 0
Brabrand 2
Randers FC 5
Otterup 0
Varde 2
Vejen 3
Fredericia 5
Assens 1
TBD -
Odense -
Vejle 1
Horsens 0
Vaerlose 1
FB 3
Jammerbugt 5
Lindholm 1
TBD -
Brondby -
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
Skjold 1
Helsingor 3
Hellerup 4
FC Lejre 1
Greve IF 3
Sonderjyske 4
Silkeborg 2
Vendsyssel FF 0
Aalborg Chang 1
Marstal/Rise 3
Rishoj 2
Stenlose 0
Aarhus 0
Viborg 1
AIK 65 Stroby 3
Avedore 2
Avarta 0
Tarnby FF 1
AB Copenhagen 3
Sollerod-Ved. 0
Ringsted 0
Nordsjaelland 9
1/16-finals
Midtjylland 3
Bronshoj 1
Lyngby 1
Esbjerg 2
Aalborg 3
Thisted FC 0
Allerod 0
Hobro 2
Koge 2
Tved 0
Aarhus Fremad 0
Brabrand 1
Randers FC 9
Vejen 0
Fredericia 3
Odense 5
Vejle 4
FB 0
Jammerbugt 0
Brondby 2
FC Copenhagen 2
Helsingor 1
Hellerup 2
Sonderjyske 4
Silkeborg 3
Marstal/Rise 1
Rishoj 0
Viborg 4
AIK 65 Stroby 5
Tarnby FF 4
AB Copenhagen 1
Nordsjaelland 4
1/8-finals
Midtjylland 5
Esbjerg 0
Aalborg 1
Hobro 2
Koge 2
Brabrand 0
Randers FC 1
Odense 2
Vejle 1
Brondby 0
FC Copenhagen 0
Sonderjyske 5
Silkeborg 3
Viborg 1
AIK 65 Stroby 1
Nordsjaelland 5
Quarter-finals
Midtjylland 2
Hobro 1
Koge 1
Odense 3
Vejle 2
Sonderjyske 1
Silkeborg 1
Nordsjaelland 3
Semi-finals
Midtjylland 4
Odense 2
Vejle 0
Nordsjaelland 4
Final
Midtjylland 0
Nordsjaelland 2