Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalborg Freja vs Hobro Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
10' Event
22' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Hobro advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Aalborg Freja
15%
Draws
26%
Hobro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalborg Freja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Hobro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Aalborg Freja taking it.
  • Hobro arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hobro, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Aalborg Freja Clean Sheet 18%
Hobro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalborg Freja Hobro
Matches Played 16 31
Wins 7 15
Draws 0 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2011 Betano Pokalen
Aalborg Freja vs Hobro
0:3
Aug 8, 2007 Betano Pokalen
Aalborg Freja vs Hobro
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalborg Freja 36 / 100
Hobro 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalborg Freja Hobro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hobro has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Aalborg Freja remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Hobro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hobro
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalborg Freja

(Home)
07 Aug
Aalborg Freja
1 : 4
Vejgaard
28 Oct
Aalborg Freja
0 : 3
Brondby
22 Sept
Aalborg Freja
2 : 1
Lyseng
08 Sept
Aalborg Freja
2 : 1
Helsted
03 Aug
Aalborg Freja
2 : 1
Give Fremad
Page 1 of 4

Hobro

(Away)
21 Sept
Koge
5 : 2
Hobro
11 Sept
Hobro
0 : 0
Vejle
04 Sept
Hobro
1 : 3
Hvidovre IF
30 Aug
Hillerod
3 : 1
Hobro
21 Aug
Hobro
2 : 1
Aalborg
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Horsens -
TBD -
Aarhus Fremad 1
Holstebro 2
Dollefjelde-Musse 2
Toreby-Graenge 0
Avedore 2
AB Copenhagen 3
Aars IK 2
Koldby/Hordum 0
Frederikshavn 0
Lindholm 5
Bronshoj 3
Greve IF 0
Avarta 0
Herlev 3
Viborg 2
Skive 1
TBD -
Aalborg -
B 1908 2
Egedal 1
Asnaes 0
Holbaek 6
Odense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skovbakken -
TBD -
Harte 1
Fredericia 4
Vejle 6
Funder 2
Aabenraa 2
Herning KFUM 4
Viby 6
Vejlby Risskov 2
Odder 1
Ringkobing 2
Hvidovre IF 5
Vaerebro 1
Frederikssund 0
Vanlose 6
Jammerbugt -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
Roskilde 8
Nakskov 0
TBD -
Lyngby -
Fredensborg 3
Gladsaxe-Hero 1
Tommerup 0
Svendborg 9
Esbjerg 3
FC Sydvest 05 1
Nyborg G&IF 1
OKS Odense 2
Hellerup 6
Bornholm 2
TBD -
Koge -
Sonderjyske -
TBD -
Lyseng 0
Brabrand 2
Helsinge 3
Boldklubben FIX 0
Ringsted 1
Svebolle 5
Marienlyst 5
Tved 1
Aalborg Chang 1
Thisted FC 3
Skanderborg 3
Varde 1
Aalborg Freja 0
Hobro 3
Silkeborg -
TBD -
Middelfart 4
FC Fyn 5
Langeskov 5
Fjordager 1
Djursland 1
Randers FC 8
Naestved IF 1
Nykobing 0
FB 1
Allerod 3
BK Frem 3
Boldklubben 1893 1
Otterup 1
Naesby 2
Nordsjaelland -
TBD -
KFUMs BK 2
Hillerod 3
Tjorring 2
Esbjerg IF 92 1
Skagen IK 0
Vendsyssel FF 7
Jaegersborg 4
Rodovre 1
Ledoje-Smorum 1
Sollerod-Ved. 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Brondby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastrup 5
Femhoj 4
Skjold 0
Helsingor 3
Slagelse 4
Rishoj 0
BK Glostrup Albertsund 3
BSF 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
1/32-finals
Horsens 5
Holstebro 0
Dollefjelde-Musse 0
AB Copenhagen 3
Aars IK 1
Lindholm 0
Bronshoj 0
Herlev 0
Viborg 3
Aalborg 2
B 1908 2
Holbaek 3
Odense -
TBD -
Skovbakken 1
Fredericia 3
Vejle 7
Herning KFUM 2
Viby 4
Ringkobing 6
Hvidovre IF 5
Vanlose 1
Jammerbugt 2
Aarhus 5
Roskilde 2
Lyngby 1
Fredensborg 2
Svendborg 4
Esbjerg 4
OKS Odense 1
Hellerup 0
Koge 2
Sonderjyske 1
Brabrand 0
Helsinge 1
Svebolle 4
Marienlyst 3
Thisted FC 2
Skanderborg 0
Hobro 4
Silkeborg 8
FC Fyn 2
Langeskov 0
Randers FC 5
Naestved IF 3
Allerod 1
BK Frem 0
Naesby 2
Nordsjaelland 6
Hillerod 0
Tjorring 0
Vendsyssel FF 3
Jaegersborg 3
Sollerod-Ved. 0
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Brondby -
TBD -
Kastrup 1
Helsingor 4
Slagelse 5
BSF 0
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
1/16-finals
Horsens 3
AB Copenhagen 0
Aars IK 2
Herlev 5
Viborg 1
Holbaek 0
Odense 0
Fredericia 1
Vejle 5
Ringkobing 1
Hvidovre IF 2
Aarhus 3
Roskilde 2
Svendborg 1
Esbjerg 1
Koge 3
Sonderjyske 1
Svebolle 0
Marienlyst 1
Hobro 4
Silkeborg 2
Randers FC 1
Naestved IF 1
Naesby 2
Nordsjaelland 2
Vendsyssel FF 0
Jaegersborg 0
Midtjylland 6
Brondby 4
Helsingor 0
Slagelse 0
FC Copenhagen 2
1/8-finals
Horsens 3
Herlev 2
Viborg 1
Fredericia 2
Vejle 1
Aarhus 0
Roskilde 1
Koge 2
Sonderjyske 2
Hobro 0
Silkeborg 3
Naesby 4
Nordsjaelland 1
Midtjylland 0
Brondby 0
FC Copenhagen 3
Quarter-finals
Horsens 2
Fredericia 1
Vejle 1
Koge 2
Sonderjyske 5
Naesby 1
Nordsjaelland 0
FC Copenhagen 2
Semi-finals
Horsens 3
Koge 2
Sonderjyske 4
FC Copenhagen 4
Final
Horsens 0
FC Copenhagen 1