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Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Navarro Flores A. A.
31'
Lomeli A.
37'
Danae Gutierrez Acosta A.

AI Match Summary

Cruz Azul W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cruz Azul W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Necaxa W
15%
Draws
85%
Cruz Azul W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruz Azul W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Cruz Azul W have won more games recently than Necaxa W.
  • Cruz Azul W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Necaxa W Clean Sheet 10%
Cruz Azul W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Necaxa W Cruz Azul W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 14
Draws 1 5
Losses 28 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1.77
Goals Conceded 3.6 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W
0:2
Mar 12, 2026 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Necaxa W
3:0
Aug 18, 2025 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W
3:3
Apr 12, 2025 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W
1:0
Sep 3, 2024 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Necaxa W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Necaxa W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Cruz Azul W Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Necaxa W 10 / 100
Cruz Azul W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Necaxa W Cruz Azul W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruz Azul W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cruz Azul W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Necaxa W's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cruz Azul W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Necaxa W VS Cruz Azul W
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
4 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Necaxa W

(Home)
04 Oct
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
29 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 4
Toluca W
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0
Necaxa W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
05 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Atletico San Luis W
Page 1 of 6

Cruz Azul W

(Away)
04 Oct
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
22 Sept
Santos Laguna W
2 : 0
Cruz Azul W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2
UNAM Pumas W
06 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)