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Stadium Background

Aalborg vs Esbjerg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Aalborg Portland Park, Aalborg
Thu, Nov 26, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aalborg host Esbjerg in the 1st Division. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Aalborg at 1.47 goals for, 1.43 against; Esbjerg at 1.66 for, 1.55 against. Past meetings favor Aalborg slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 10, 2026, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.38, favoring Aalborg. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Aalborg
35%
Draws
35%
Esbjerg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Aalborg have won more games recently than Esbjerg.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Aalborg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 17%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalborg Esbjerg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Aalborg
3:3
Mar 21, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Esbjerg
1:1
Aug 19, 2025 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Aalborg
1:0
Oct 30, 2024 Betano Pokalen
Esbjerg vs Aalborg
0:2
Jun 30, 2021 Club Friendly
Aalborg vs Esbjerg
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalborg 36 / 100
Esbjerg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalborg Esbjerg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Esbjerg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aalborg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalborg VS Esbjerg
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalborg

(Home)
30 Oct
Aalborg
1 : 1
Hobro
24 Oct
Hillerod
2 : 1
Aalborg
17 Oct
Aalborg
0 : 1
Vejle
10 Oct
Esbjerg
3 : 3
Aalborg
02 Oct
Randers FC
0 : 1
Aalborg
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Esbjerg

(Away)
31 Oct
Esbjerg
1 : 1
Hvidovre IF
28 Oct
Esbjerg
0 : 1
Nordsjaelland
24 Oct
Esbjerg
2 : 1
Fredericia
16 Oct
Aarhus Fremad
0 : 0
Esbjerg
10 Oct
Esbjerg
3 : 3
Aalborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 13 8 5 0 24:13 29
2 Vejle 13 6 6 1 25:16 24
3 Fredericia 13 6 5 2 21:9 23
4 AB Copenhagen 13 5 3 5 18:15 18
5 Aarhus Fremad 13 4 6 3 12:11 18
6 Hobro 13 4 4 5 16:23 16
7 Kolding IF 13 3 6 4 16:17 15
8 Aalborg 13 3 6 4 16:18 15
9 Hillerod 13 3 3 7 15:20 12
10 Vendsyssel FF 13 2 6 5 14:21 12
11 Koge 13 2 5 6 19:25 11
12 Esbjerg 13 2 5 6 16:24 11
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)