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Stadium Background

Aalborg vs Koge

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Aalborg Portland Park, Aalborg
Aalborg Logo

Aalborg

1 - 0
FT
Koge Logo

Koge

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Westergren M.
Own Goal
36'
Jensen M.
46'
Sub
Semovski E. In: Al Naser M.
Out: Semovski E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Aalborg and Koge finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Aalborg
35%
Draws
35%
Koge
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Aalborg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aalborg a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 20%
Koge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalborg Koge
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Koge
0:0
May 30, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Koge
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Aalborg
1:1
Oct 2, 2025 1st Division
Aalborg vs Koge
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Aalborg
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalborg 36 / 100
Koge 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalborg Koge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Koge has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Aalborg stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalborg VS Koge
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalborg

(Home)
20 Sept
Aalborg
2 : 2
Vendsyssel FF
12 Sept
Hvidovre IF
2 : 2
Aalborg
05 Sept
AB Copenhagen
0 : 2
Aalborg
29 Aug
Aalborg
0 : 0
Koge
25 Aug
Vatanspor
2 : 1
Aalborg
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Koge

(Away)
21 Sept
Koge
5 : 2
Hobro
12 Sept
Esbjerg
2 : 2
Koge
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
29 Aug
Aalborg
0 : 0
Koge
23 Aug
Koge
2 : 2
Kolding IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)