Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalborg vs Koge

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Aalborg Portland Park, Aalborg
Aalborg Logo

Aalborg

1 - 0
FT
Koge Logo

Koge

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Westergren M.
Own Goal
36'
Jensen M.
46'
Sub
Semovski E. In: Al Naser M.
Out: Semovski E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Aalborg and Koge finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aalborg
15%
Draws
0%
Koge
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aalborg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aalborg a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aalborg have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 20%
Koge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalborg Koge
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Koge
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Aalborg
1:1
Oct 2, 2025 1st Division
Aalborg vs Koge
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Aalborg
0:2
Dec 3, 2023 1st Division
Koge vs Aalborg
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalborg 85 / 100
Koge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalborg Koge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aalborg scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Koge's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Koge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aalborg VS Koge
1.63 Goals Scored 0.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalborg

(Home)
09 Aug
Aalborg
1 : 1
Kolding IF
04 Aug
Holstebro
1 : 3
Aalborg
31 Jul
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 2
Aalborg
24 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 0
Hillerod
17 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 2
Silkeborg
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Koge

(Away)
08 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
3 : 1
Koge
04 Aug
Bronshoj
1 : 0
Koge
31 Jul
Koge
0 : 2
Vejle
25 Jul
Fredericia
3 : 0
Koge
18 Jul
Naestved IF
2 : 0
Koge
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)