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Aalborg vs Middelfart

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Aalborg Portland Park, Aalborg
Aalborg Logo

Aalborg

1 - 3
FT
Middelfart Logo

Middelfart

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Akale A.
Assist: Zjajo B.
15'
Thomsen L.
40'
Sub
Kakeeto R. In: Juul-Sandberg N.
Out: Kakeeto R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Middelfart in this 1st Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Middelfart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Aalborg
15%
Draws
51%
Middelfart
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Middelfart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Middelfart at 1.7 per game, Aalborg at 1.61.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Middelfart taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aalborg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 11%
Middelfart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalborg Middelfart
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 1
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.61 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Middelfart
1:3
Apr 4, 2026 1st Division
Middelfart vs Aalborg
2:5
Nov 1, 2025 1st Division
Middelfart vs Aalborg
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 1st Division
Aalborg vs Middelfart
4:0
Nov 9, 2022 Betano Pokalen
Middelfart vs Aalborg
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomsen W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Middelfart Compare

Top Goalscorer Akale A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zjajo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalborg 10 / 100
Middelfart 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalborg Middelfart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MID Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Middelfart let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Aalborg stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalborg VS Middelfart
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalborg

(Home)
09 Aug
Aalborg
1 : 1
Kolding IF
04 Aug
Holstebro
1 : 3
Aalborg
31 Jul
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 2
Aalborg
24 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 0
Hillerod
17 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 2
Silkeborg
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Middelfart

(Away)
07 Aug
Middelfart
4 : 0
Brabrand
04 Aug
Bredballe
0 : 2
Middelfart
01 Aug
Middelfart
4 : 1
Thisted FC
25 Jul
Naesby
0 : 1
Middelfart
18 Jul
Middelfart
3 : 0
VSK Aarhus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)