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Aalborg W vs Esbjerg W

Denmark Denmark

B-Liga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Winther F.
Assist: Jensen F.
54' Event
Larsen S.
Assist: Jakobsen A.
60' Event
Jeppesen J.
Assist: Jensen F.

AI Match Summary

The B-Liga Women 2025/2026 game between Aalborg W and Esbjerg W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalborg W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aalborg W
15%
Draws
0%
Esbjerg W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalborg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aalborg W come out ahead of Esbjerg W on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Aalborg W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • Aalborg W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Aalborg W Clean Sheet 10%
Esbjerg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalborg W Esbjerg W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 2
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 23
Goals Scored 1.28 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.72 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 B-Liga Women
Esbjerg W vs Aalborg W
2:4
May 30, 2026 B-Liga Women
Esbjerg W vs Aalborg W
2:2
Apr 4, 2026 B-Liga Women
Aalborg W vs Esbjerg W
3:2
Nov 2, 2025 B-Liga Women
Aalborg W vs Esbjerg W
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 B-Liga Women
Esbjerg W vs Aalborg W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalborg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dahl V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Esbjerg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Winther F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jeppesen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalborg W 34 / 100
Esbjerg W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalborg W Esbjerg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esbjerg W let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Esbjerg W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Aalborg W found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Aalborg W VS Esbjerg W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
4.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalborg W

(Home)
19 Sept
Aalborg W
0 : 0
Viborg W
13 Sept
Esbjerg W
2 : 4
Aalborg W
06 Sept
Aalborg W
3 : 6
Thisted FC W
29 Aug
B93 W
4 : 0
Aalborg W
22 Aug
Aalborg W
0 : 6
Osterbro IF W
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Esbjerg W

(Away)
19 Sept
Osterbro IF W
4 : 1
Esbjerg W
13 Sept
Esbjerg W
2 : 4
Aalborg W
05 Sept
Sundby W
2 : 1
Esbjerg W
30 Aug
Esbjerg W
0 : 3
Viborg W
23 Aug
Esbjerg W
1 : 2
Naestved HG W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sundby W 10 8 1 1 26:14 25
2 B93 W 10 5 3 2 14:8 18
3 Naestved HG W 10 5 2 3 22:16 17
4 Viborg W 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
5 Aalborg W 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
6 Esbjerg W 10 0 3 7 13:24 3
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