Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalen vs Illertissen

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ohurtsov O. V.
45' Event
Maksimovic S.
70' Event
Gerstmayer D.

AI Match Summary

Aalen in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aalen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Aalen
28%
Draws
50%
Illertissen
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Illertissen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Illertissen average 3.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Aalen's 2.88.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Illertissen taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Aalen here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Aalen Clean Sheet 10%
Illertissen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalen Illertissen
Matches Played 27 33
Wins 21 21
Draws 2 7
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.88 3.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Aalen vs Illertissen
2:1
Jul 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Illertissen vs Aalen
1:2
Jan 31, 2023 Club Friendly
Illertissen vs Aalen
0:3
Jan 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Illertissen vs Aalen
0:2
Jan 18, 2020 Club Friendly
Aalen vs Illertissen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Ohurtsov O. V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maksimovic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Illertissen Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerstmayer D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalen 22 / 100
Illertissen 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalen Illertissen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalen found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (27 games).

Illertissen let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Aalen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalen VS Illertissen
2.88 Goals Scored 3.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%