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Aalen vs Illertissen

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ohurtsov O. V.
45' Event
Maksimovic S.
70' Event
Gerstmayer D.

AI Match Summary

Aalen in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aalen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Aalen
20%
Draws
33%
Illertissen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aalen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Aalen average 2.36 goals a game right now, well clear of Illertissen's 2.13.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Aalen taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aalen here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Aalen Clean Sheet 16%
Illertissen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalen Illertissen
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 18
Draws 7 5
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2.36 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Aalen vs Illertissen
2:1
Jul 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Illertissen vs Aalen
1:2
Jan 31, 2023 Club Friendly
Illertissen vs Aalen
0:3
Jan 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Illertissen vs Aalen
0:2
Jan 18, 2020 Club Friendly
Aalen vs Illertissen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Ohurtsov O. V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maksimovic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Illertissen Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerstmayer D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalen 84 / 100
Illertissen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalen Illertissen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalen found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Illertissen let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Aalen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalen VS Illertissen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalen

(Home)
13 Sept
VfR Mannheim
0 : 0
Aalen
08 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0
Ulm
05 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0
Eintracht Trier
30 Aug
Mainz II
1 : 3
Aalen
22 Aug
Aalen
0 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt II
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Illertissen

(Away)
11 Sept
Illertissen
2 : 1
Nurnberg II
04 Sept
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Illertissen
29 Aug
Illertissen
0 : 2
Bayern II
21 Aug
Bayreuth
2 : 2
Illertissen
14 Aug
Illertissen
3 : 0
Unterhaching
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