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Aalen vs Kassel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Regionalliga Sudwest Bediani Arena, Aalen
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aalen host Kassel in the Regionalliga Sudwest. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Aalen at 2.1 goals for, 0.83 against; Kassel at 1.9 for, 1.84 against. Past meetings favor Aalen slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 9, 2023, ending 3:2. xG projections (2.00 - 1.25) back Aalen to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Aalen
15%
Draws
18%
Kassel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aalen lately — more wins on the board than Kassel.
  • Aalen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aalen Clean Sheet 19%
Kassel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalen Kassel
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 19 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 2.1 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2023 Regionalliga Sudwest
Kassel vs Aalen
3:2
Aug 26, 2023 Regionalliga Sudwest
Aalen vs Kassel
1:1
Mar 21, 2023 Regionalliga Sudwest
Kassel vs Aalen
1:2
Sep 2, 2022 Regionalliga Sudwest
Aalen vs Kassel
3:0
May 7, 2022 Regionalliga Sudwest
Aalen vs Kassel
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalen 85 / 100
Kassel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalen Kassel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalen found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Kassel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Aalen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Aalen VS Kassel
2 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalen

(Home)
31 Oct
Stutt. Kickers
0 : 1
Aalen
24 Oct
Sandhausen
0 : 1
Aalen
17 Oct
Aalen
2 : 0
Astoria Walldorf
10 Oct
Fulda-Lehnerz
0 : 2
Aalen
03 Oct
Aalen
4 : 1
FSV Frankfurt
Page 1 of 6

Kassel

(Away)
31 Oct
Kassel
0 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
24 Oct
Astoria Walldorf
4 : 1
Kassel
17 Oct
Kassel
0 : 3
VfR Mannheim
10 Oct
Kaiserslautern II
2 : 3
Kassel
03 Oct
Kassel
2 : 2
Ulm
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalen 14 9 3 2 24:11 30
2 VfR Mannheim 14 8 5 1 25:11 29
3 Freiberg 14 7 7 0 32:13 28
4 Kickers Offenbach 14 7 3 4 27:19 24
5 Stutt. Kickers 14 7 2 5 22:19 23
6 Eintracht Trier 14 7 2 5 16:17 23
7 Freiburg II 14 5 6 3 25:19 21
8 FC 08 Homburg 14 5 6 3 18:17 21
9 Sandhausen 14 5 4 5 21:24 19
10 TSV Steinbach Haiger 14 4 5 5 22:22 17
11 Eintracht Frankfurt II 14 5 1 8 18:22 16
12 Astoria Walldorf 14 3 5 6 20:22 14
13 FSV Frankfurt 14 3 5 6 22:25 14
14 Kassel 14 4 2 8 21:29 14
15 Mainz II 14 4 2 8 15:27 14
16 Fulda-Lehnerz 14 3 3 8 18:28 12
17 Ulm 14 1 8 5 17:24 11
18 Kaiserslautern II 14 2 5 7 16:30 11
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)