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Aalesund 2 vs Herd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Hjelle N. G.
84'
Fjeldstad E.
84'
Fjeldstad E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Aalesund 2 and Herd finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalesund 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aalesund 2
30%
Draws
39%
Herd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Herd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Aalesund 2's 1.86 goals per match outpaces what Herd have produced (1.85).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Herd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund 2 Herd
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.86 1.85
Goals Conceded 2.61 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Herd
3:0
May 26, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Herd vs Aalesund 2
0:2
Sep 30, 2019 Division 3 - Group 1
Herd vs Aalesund 2
0:3
Jun 8, 2019 Division 3 - Group 1
Aalesund 2 vs Herd
1:2
Oct 7, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Aalesund 2 vs Herd
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalesund 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hjelle N. G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Knutsen S. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Herd Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund 2 29 / 100
Herd 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund 2 Herd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund 2 scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Herd has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aalesund 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund 2 VS Herd
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund 2

(Home)
03 Oct
Aalesund 2
1 : 3
Ntnui
25 Sept
Aalesund 2
1 : 7
Rosenborg 2
20 Sept
Orkla
2 : 2
Aalesund 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
07 Sept
Molde 2
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
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Herd

(Away)
09 Oct
Herd
2 : 1
Spjelkavik
02 Oct
Molde 2
6 : 2
Herd
26 Sept
Herd
0 : 0
FK Kvik
19 Sept
Byasen
6 : 1
Herd
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
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