Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalesund 2 vs Melhus

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Hegerberg I.
45' Event
Reed M.
59' Event
Hjelle N. G.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Aalesund 2 and Melhus finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aalesund 2
15%
Draws
42%
Melhus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Melhus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aalesund 2 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Melhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund 2 Melhus
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 16
Draws 2 7
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 2 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Melhus
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Melhus
1:3
Jul 5, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Aalesund 2
5:0
Oct 23, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Aalesund 2 vs Melhus
3:2
Oct 24, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Aalesund 2 vs Melhus
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalesund 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reed M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hjelle N. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Melhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Hegerberg I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thorsen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund 2 34 / 100
Melhus 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund 2 Melhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aalesund 2 scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Melhus has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Difficult form: Melhus registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund 2 VS Melhus
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund 2

(Home)
07 Sept
Molde 2
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
17 Aug
FK Kvik
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
10 Aug
Aalesund 2
3 : 0
Herd
03 Aug
Strindheim
2 : 0
Aalesund 2
25 Jul
Aalesund 2
4 : 2
Orkla
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Melhus

(Away)
12 Sept
Melhus
1 : 2
Volda
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
30 Aug
Melhus
0 : 1
Strindheim
22 Aug
Melhus
0 : 3
Stjordals Blink
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
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