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Aalesund 2 vs Melhus

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Hegerberg I.
45' Event
Reed M.
59' Event
Hjelle N. G.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Aalesund 2 and Melhus finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aalesund 2
44%
Draws
20%
Melhus
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Melhus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Melhus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund 2 Melhus
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 19
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Melhus
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Melhus
1:3
Jul 5, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Aalesund 2
5:0
Oct 23, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Aalesund 2 vs Melhus
3:2
Oct 24, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Aalesund 2 vs Melhus
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalesund 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reed M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hjelle N. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Melhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Hegerberg I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thorsen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund 2 34 / 100
Melhus 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund 2 Melhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Aalesund 2 scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Melhus let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Aalesund 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund 2 VS Melhus
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%