Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santos vs Cruzeiro

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Rollheiser B.
32' Event
Gabriel Bontempo
45'
Kaio Jorge

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Santos and Cruzeiro finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Santos
15%
Draws
28%
Cruzeiro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Cruzeiro haven't matched Santos's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Santos taking it.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Santos Clean Sheet 20%
Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Cruzeiro
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.66 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Cruzeiro
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Serie A Betano
Cruzeiro vs Santos
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Cruzeiro
3:0
Aug 10, 2025 Serie A Betano
Cruzeiro vs Santos
1:2
Sep 14, 2023 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Cruzeiro
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Rollheiser B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Bontempo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cruzeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Pereira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos 76 / 100
Cruzeiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Cruzeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Cruzeiro let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Santos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santos VS Cruzeiro
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos

(Home)
19 Sept
Remo
1 : 2
Santos
16 Sept
Atletico-MG
5 : 2
Santos
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
09 Sept
Santos
2 : 0
Atletico-MG
06 Sept
Internacional
2 : 3
Santos
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Cruzeiro

(Away)
20 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 3
Cruzeiro
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1
Athletico-PR
02 Sept
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
30 Aug
Vasco
3 : 1
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 28 18 6 4 55:23 60
2 Palmeiras 28 16 9 3 47:21 57
3 Athletico-PR 28 14 7 7 43:32 49
4 Fluminense 28 13 9 6 44:36 48
5 Bahia 28 12 10 6 43:35 46
6 Cruzeiro 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
7 Atletico-MG 27 11 7 9 36:32 40
8 Santos 27 10 8 9 41:40 38
9 Coritiba 28 10 8 10 37:43 38
10 Bragantino 27 10 6 11 33:31 36
11 Sao Paulo 27 10 6 11 32:30 36
12 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
13 Vitoria 28 9 6 13 28:42 33
14 Corinthians 28 8 8 12 29:32 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Vasco 27 8 7 12 34:41 31
17 Gremio 28 7 8 13 30:38 29
18 Internacional 28 6 10 12 30:36 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)