Sport Picks

Stadium Background

D. Puerto Montt vs Colo Colo

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Regional de Chinquihue, Puerto Montt
Tue, Sep 29, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 5-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. D. Puerto Montt have averaged 1 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Colo Colo's 2.1 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Colo Colo slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 8, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.75) point toward Colo Colo. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
D. Puerto Montt
30%
Draws
42%
Colo Colo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colo Colo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Colo Colo have won more games recently than D. Puerto Montt.
  • Model gives Colo Colo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Colo Colo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor D. Puerto Montt, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 12%
Colo Colo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D. Puerto Montt Colo Colo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 20
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 Club Friendly
D. Puerto Montt vs Colo Colo
2:1
Jun 14, 2019 Copa Chile
Colo Colo vs D. Puerto Montt
5:2
Jun 9, 2019 Copa Chile
D. Puerto Montt vs Colo Colo
2:0
Sep 29, 2007 Liga de Primera
D. Puerto Montt vs Colo Colo
0:2
Apr 8, 2007 Liga de Primera
Colo Colo vs D. Puerto Montt
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D. Puerto Montt 19 / 100
Colo Colo 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D. Puerto Montt Colo Colo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colo Colo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: D. Puerto Montt scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Colo Colo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Solid form: D. Puerto Montt remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

D. Puerto Montt VS Colo Colo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

D. Puerto Montt

(Home)
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1
D. Puerto Montt
22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0
Nublense
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
08 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
1 : 2
Rangers
05 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0
Curico Unido
Page 1 of 6

Colo Colo

(Away)
25 Sept
Colo Colo
1 : 0
A. Italiano
22 Sept
A. Italiano
0 : 0
Colo Colo
13 Sept
Colo Colo
1 : 1
D. Concepcion
06 Sept
Huachipato
0 : 0
Colo Colo
30 Aug
Colo Colo
5 : 1
A. Italiano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Colo Colo 1
A. Italiano 0
Nublense 2
D. Puerto Montt 3
Deportes Santa Cruz 2
O Higgins 5
D. Concepcion 6
Curico Unido 0
U. De Chile 2
Everton 1
Antofagasta 5
Deportes Iquique 2
U. Catolica 1
Union La Calera 2
Coquimbo 2
Cobreloa 1
Quarter-finals
Colo Colo -
D. Puerto Montt -
O Higgins -
D. Concepcion -
U. De Chile -
Antofagasta -
Union La Calera -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -