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French Guiana vs Sint Maarten

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League FFB Stadium, Belmopan
Tue, Sep 29, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

French Guiana host Sint Maarten in the CONCACAF Nations League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. French Guiana have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Sint Maarten's 1.66 scored and 2.17 conceded. Past meetings favor French Guiana slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 17, 2023, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.75 - 1.38) back French Guiana to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
French Guiana
30%
Draws
62%
Sint Maarten
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sint Maarten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sint Maarten come out ahead of French Guiana on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
French Guiana Clean Sheet 17%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric French Guiana Sint Maarten
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2023 Gold Cup
French Guiana vs Sint Maarten
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

French Guiana 31 / 100
Sint Maarten 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
French Guiana Sint Maarten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sint Maarten Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sint Maarten has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: French Guiana scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: French Guiana stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

French Guiana VS Sint Maarten
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

French Guiana

(Home)
26 Sept
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
2 : 1
French Guiana
19 Nov
French Guiana
2 : 2
Belize
15 Nov
Belize
2 : 1
French Guiana
15 Oct
Nicaragua
3 : 2
French Guiana
10 Oct
French Guiana
2 : 3
Honduras
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Sint Maarten

(Away)
27 Sept
Sint Maarten
0 : 1
Belize
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3
Sint Maarten
15 Nov
Dominica
2 : 3
Sint Maarten
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
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