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Aalesund 2 vs Nardo

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aalesund 2 host Nardo in the Division 3 - Group 2. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Nardo have shipped 2.13 goals a game lately, while Aalesund 2 have conceded 2.32 and scored 1.9. Head-to-head, Aalesund 2 have won 3 to Nardo's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 5:1. xG projections (2.19 - 2.13) back Aalesund 2 to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aalesund 2
15%
Draws
42%
Nardo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Nardo haven't matched Aalesund 2's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aalesund 2's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Nardo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund 2 Nardo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 2 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.32 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Aalesund 2
5:1
Sep 14, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Nardo
4:1
Apr 29, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Aalesund 2
2:3
Sep 14, 2015 Division 2 - Group 4
Aalesund 2 vs Nardo
1:0
Jun 1, 2015 Division 2 - Group 4
Nardo vs Aalesund 2
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund 2 40 / 100
Nardo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund 2 Nardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nardo conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Aalesund 2 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Nardo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund 2 VS Nardo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund 2

(Home)
10 Aug
Aalesund 2
3 : 0
Herd
03 Aug
Strindheim
2 : 0
Aalesund 2
25 Jul
Aalesund 2
4 : 2
Orkla
27 Jun
Byasen
2 : 1
Aalesund 2
22 Jun
Aalesund 2
2 : 5
Ranheim 2
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Nardo

(Away)
08 Aug
Volda
2 : 0
Nardo
03 Aug
Nardo
3 : 0
Molde 2
25 Jul
Spjelkavik
4 : 2
Nardo
27 Jun
Ranheim 2
5 : 3
Nardo
20 Jun
Nardo
2 : 0
Ntnui
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