Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalesund 2 vs Nardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
1 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event

AI Match Summary

Aalesund 2 host Nardo in the Division 3 - Group 2. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Nardo have shipped 1.96 goals a game lately, while Aalesund 2 have conceded 2.61 and scored 1.86. Head-to-head, Aalesund 2 have won 3 to Nardo's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 5:1. xG projections (1.69 - 3.31) back Nardo to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Aalesund 2
20%
Draws
56%
Nardo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Aalesund 2 haven't matched Nardo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nardo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Nardo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund 2 Nardo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.86 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.61 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Aalesund 2
5:1
Sep 14, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Nardo
4:1
Apr 29, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Aalesund 2
2:3
Sep 14, 2015 Division 2 - Group 4
Aalesund 2 vs Nardo
1:0
Jun 1, 2015 Division 2 - Group 4
Nardo vs Aalesund 2
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund 2 10 / 100
Nardo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund 2 Nardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund 2 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Nardo conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Aalesund 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund 2 VS Nardo
1.88 Goals Scored 4.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund 2

(Home)
18 Oct
Aalesund 2
3 : 3
Byasen
12 Oct
Melhus
0 : 1
Aalesund 2
03 Oct
Aalesund 2
1 : 3
Ntnui
25 Sept
Aalesund 2
1 : 7
Rosenborg 2
20 Sept
Orkla
2 : 2
Aalesund 2
Page 1 of 6

Nardo

(Away)
17 Oct
Nardo
11 : 0
Herd
10 Oct
Byasen
1 : 3
Nardo
03 Oct
Nardo
0 : 1
Strindheim
26 Sept
Ntnui
2 : 5
Nardo
21 Sept
Nardo
4 : 1
Ranheim 2
Page 1 of 6