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RC Saint Joseph vs Trenelle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RC Saint Joseph host Trenelle in the Trophee Gerard Janvion. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Trenelle have shipped 1.69 goals a game lately, while RC Saint Joseph have conceded 0.38 and scored 2.66. Head-to-head, RC Saint Joseph have won 4 to Trenelle's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 2.44 vs 0.44, favoring RC Saint Joseph. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
RC Saint Joseph
20%
Draws
20%
Trenelle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RC Saint Joseph

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RC Saint Joseph lately — more wins on the board than Trenelle.
  • Win probability leans RC Saint Joseph's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • RC Saint Joseph have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
RC Saint Joseph Clean Sheet 20%
Trenelle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RC Saint Joseph Trenelle
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 24 7
Draws 5 12
Losses 0 10
Goals Scored 2.66 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Trenelle vs RC Saint Joseph
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Saint Joseph vs Trenelle
5:2
May 3, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Trenelle vs RC Saint Joseph
0:2
Dec 14, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Saint Joseph vs Trenelle
3:1
May 13, 2023 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Saint Joseph vs Trenelle
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RC Saint Joseph 85 / 100
Trenelle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RC Saint Joseph Trenelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RC Saint Joseph Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RC Saint Joseph scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

RC Saint Joseph has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Trenelle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

RC Saint Joseph VS Trenelle
3.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

RC Saint Joseph

(Home)
10 Oct
Espoir
0 : 4
RC Saint Joseph
12 Sept
RC Saint Joseph
6 : 0
Club Peleen
05 Sept
Morne des Esses
1 : 3
RC Saint Joseph
06 Jun
Golden Lion
0 : 1
RC Saint Joseph
30 May
RC Saint Joseph
6 : 0
Emulation
Page 1 of 6

Trenelle

(Away)
10 Oct
Morne des Esses
2 : 2
Trenelle
12 Sept
Trenelle
1 : 5
Franciscain
05 Sept
Golden Star
1 : 1
Trenelle
06 Jun
Inter de Sainte-Anne
3 : 0
Trenelle
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 3 3 0 0 13:1 12
2 Franciscain 3 3 0 0 10:2 12
3 Golden Lion 3 2 1 0 9:3 10
4 Inter de Sainte-Anne 3 2 0 1 3:1 9
5 Club Peleen 3 2 0 1 6:7 9
6 Assaut 3 1 1 1 7:7 7
7 Golden Star 3 1 1 1 2:2 7
8 Morne des Esses 3 1 1 1 6:7 7
9 Club Colonial 3 0 2 1 3:5 5
10 Samaritaine 3 0 2 1 4:5 5
11 RC Riviere-Pilote 3 0 2 1 2:3 5
12 Trenelle 3 0 2 1 4:8 5
13 RC Lorrain 3 0 0 3 4:11 3
14 Espoir 3 0 0 3 0:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup (Main)