Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalesund 2 vs Orkla

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Knutsen S. K.
10' Event
Landro L.
19' Event
Leikanger T.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Aalesund 2 and Orkla finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalesund 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Aalesund 2
35%
Draws
39%
Orkla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Orkla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Aalesund 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Orkla a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Orkla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund 2 Orkla
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 5
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.97 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.5 3.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Orkla vs Aalesund 2
2:2
Jul 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Orkla
4:2
Aug 21, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Aalesund 2 vs Orkla
1:2
Oct 24, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Orkla vs Aalesund 2
0:0
Aug 22, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Aalesund 2 vs Orkla
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalesund 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Leikanger T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Knutsen S. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Orkla Compare

Top Goalscorer Landro L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mogset V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund 2 10 / 100
Orkla 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund 2 Orkla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orkla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund 2 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Orkla has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Aalesund 2 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund 2 VS Orkla
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund 2

(Home)
25 Sept
Aalesund 2
1 : 7
Rosenborg 2
20 Sept
Orkla
2 : 2
Aalesund 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
07 Sept
Molde 2
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
17 Aug
FK Kvik
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
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Orkla

(Away)
20 Sept
Orkla
2 : 2
Aalesund 2
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
05 Sept
Orkla
3 : 1
Ntnui
31 Aug
Ranheim 2
3 : 3
Orkla
15 Aug
Orkla
2 : 5
Spjelkavik
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