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Aalesund 2 vs Orkla

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
4 - 2
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Knutsen S. K.
10' Event
Landro L.
19' Event
Leikanger T.

AI Match Summary

Aalesund 2 host Orkla in the Division 3 - Group 2. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Aalesund 2 have averaged 1.38 scored and 2.88 conceded recently, against Orkla's 1.63 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Aalesund 2 slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 4:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 2.25, favoring Aalesund 2. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Aalesund 2
17%
Draws
13%
Orkla
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Aalesund 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Aalesund 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aalesund 2 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Orkla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund 2 Orkla
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Orkla
4:2
Aug 21, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Aalesund 2 vs Orkla
1:2
Oct 24, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Orkla vs Aalesund 2
0:0
Aug 22, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Aalesund 2 vs Orkla
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalesund 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Leikanger T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Knutsen S. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Orkla Compare

Top Goalscorer Landro L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mogset V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund 2 65 / 100
Orkla 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund 2 Orkla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Orkla conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Aalesund 2 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Aalesund 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund 2 VS Orkla
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund 2

(Home)
27 Jun
Byasen
2 : 1
Aalesund 2
22 Jun
Aalesund 2
2 : 5
Ranheim 2
13 Jun
Ntnui
0 : 1
Aalesund 2
31 May
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Strindheim
26 May
Herd
0 : 2
Aalesund 2
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Orkla

(Away)
27 Jun
Orkla
3 : 5
Molde 2
20 Jun
Spjelkavik
0 : 2
Orkla
13 Jun
Orkla
2 : 5
Volda
30 May
FK Kvik
1 : 1
Orkla
22 May
Orkla
0 : 2
Melhus
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