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Stadium Background

Aalesund U19 vs Lillestrom U19

Norway Norway

Nasjonal U19 CL
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Olsen M.
23' Event
Waehler M.
31' Event
Waehler M.

AI Match Summary

The Nasjonal U19 CL game between Aalesund U19 and Lillestrom U19 finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lillestrom U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aalesund U19
15%
Draws
49%
Lillestrom U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Lillestrom U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lillestrom U19 a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Aalesund U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Lillestrom U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund U19 Lillestrom U19
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 15 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.84 2.79
Goals Conceded 2.52 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Lillestrom U19 vs Aalesund U19
6:0
Jul 28, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Aalesund U19 vs Lillestrom U19
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Aalesund U19 vs Lillestrom U19
0:5
May 13, 2017 Junior U19
Aalesund U19 vs Lillestrom U19
1:1
Jul 9, 2013 Junior Elite Tournament
Aalesund U19 vs Lillestrom U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalesund U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Lillestrom U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Waehler M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Olsen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund U19 10 / 100
Lillestrom U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund U19 Lillestrom U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom U19 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Aalesund U19 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Aalesund U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund U19 VS Lillestrom U19
1.63 Goals Scored 3.13
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund U19

(Home)
06 Aug
Lillestrom U19
6 : 0
Aalesund U19
28 Jul
Aalesund U19
3 : 1
Lillestrom U19
29 Apr
Haugesund U19
1 : 2
Aalesund U19
22 Mar
Sarpsborg 08 U19
1 : 3
Aalesund U19
14 Mar
Aalesund U19
0 : 5
Lillestrom U19
Page 1 of 7

Lillestrom U19

(Away)
26 Aug
Lillestrom U19
4 : 1
Tromso U19
20 Aug
Tromso U19
1 : 3
Lillestrom U19
06 Aug
Lillestrom U19
6 : 0
Aalesund U19
28 Jul
Aalesund U19
3 : 1
Lillestrom U19
14 Mar
Aalesund U19
0 : 5
Lillestrom U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lillestrom U19 6 4 2 0 21:11 14
2 Stabaek U19 6 4 1 1 24:9 13
3 Ham-Kam U19 6 4 1 1 19:9 13
4 Brann U19 6 4 1 1 19:13 13
5 Lyn U19 6 4 1 1 18:12 13
6 Rosenborg U19 6 4 0 2 24:13 12
7 Sandefjord U19 6 4 0 2 14:8 12
8 Tromso U19 6 4 0 2 16:14 12
9 Stromsgodset U19 6 3 2 1 23:10 11
10 Asane U19 6 3 1 2 20:14 10
11 Molde U19 6 3 1 2 20:16 10
12 Viking U19 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
13 Valerenga U19 6 3 1 2 16:15 10
14 Odds BK U19 6 3 0 3 21:13 9
15 Sarpsborg 08 U19 6 3 0 3 19:16 9
16 Haugesund U19 6 3 0 3 16:15 9
17 Aalesund U19 6 3 0 3 10:15 9
18 Fredrikstad U19 6 2 2 2 9:12 8
19 Kfum Oslo U19 6 2 2 2 11:17 8
20 Kongsvinger U19 6 2 1 3 14:12 7
21 Kristiansund U19 6 1 1 4 12:22 4
22 Moss U19 6 1 1 4 12:28 4
23 Sogndal U19 6 1 1 4 10:26 4
24 Sandnes Ulf U19 6 1 0 5 6:24 3
25 Bodo/Glimt U19 6 0 2 4 11:17 2
26 Start U19 6 0 1 5 6:18 1
27 Bryne U19 6 0 1 5 11:26 1
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL (Play Offs)