Sport Picks
Aalesund vs Kristiansund
Norway
Eliteserien Color Line Stadion, Ålesund 
Match Events
28'
28'
Juliusson J.
43'
43'
Ronning A.
45'
45'
Melland H.
AI Match Summary
The Eliteserien game between Aalesund and Kristiansund finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kristiansund have managed 1.27 goals a game lately — Aalesund are scoring more at 2.27.
- Aalesund are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Aalesund Clean Sheet 10%
Kristiansund Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aalesund | Kristiansund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.27 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Kristiansund vs Aalesund
0:3
Apr 26, 2026 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Kristiansund
1:1
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Aalesund vs Kristiansund
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Kristiansund vs Aalesund
2:1
Jul 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Aalesund vs Kristiansund
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aalesund Compare
Top Goalscorer Lonebu K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Kristiansund Compare
Top Goalscorer Igor W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aalesund 83 / 100
Kristiansund 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aalesund Kristiansund
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aalesund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aalesund found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).
Kristiansund has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Aalesund remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Aalesund VS Kristiansund
3.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Aalesund
(Home) 19 Sept
Molde
1 : 2 Aalesund
16 Sept
Forde
3 : 4 Aalesund
13 Sept
KFUM Oslo
2 : 1 Aalesund
04 Sept
Aalesund
2 : 0 Start
30 Aug
Viking
2 : 1 Aalesund
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Aalesund
2 : 0 Start
16 Aug
Aalesund
5 : 5 Valerenga
02 Aug
Aalesund
2 : 6 Tromso
26 Jul
Aalesund
1 : 1 Viking
11 Jul
Aalesund
2 : 2 Molde
Page 1 of 3
Kristiansund
(Away) 19 Sept
Kristiansund
1 : 3 Rosenborg
16 Sept
Brattvag
1 : 2 Kristiansund
13 Sept
Viking
8 : 1 Kristiansund
06 Sept
Kristiansund
2 : 0 Tromso
30 Aug
Ham-Kam
2 : 2 Kristiansund
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Brattvag
1 : 2 Kristiansund
13 Sept
Viking
8 : 1 Kristiansund
30 Aug
Ham-Kam
2 : 2 Kristiansund
22 Aug
Tronder-Lyn
0 : 5 Kristiansund
16 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0 Kristiansund
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54:20 | 50 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53:19 | 50 |
| 3 | Tromso | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40:29 | 38 |
| 4 | Molde | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44:32 | 36 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39:30 | 33 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28:29 | 32 |
| 7 | Brann | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:29 | 25 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:35 | 25 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | 23 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34:43 | 23 |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29:44 | 23 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33:46 | 21 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21:40 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22:44 | 16 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
