Sport Picks
Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Norway
Eliteserien Color Line Stadion, Ålesund 
AI Match Summary
Aalesund host Sarpsborg 08 in the Eliteserien. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Aalesund at 2.28 goals for, 2.03 against; Sarpsborg 08 at 1.23 for, 1.27 against. Past meetings favor Sarpsborg 08 slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 22, 2023, ending 3:2. xG projections (2.44 - 1.75) back Aalesund to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Sarpsborg 08 lately — more wins on the board than Aalesund.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Aalesund taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aalesund | Sarpsborg 08 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.28 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aalesund found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Sarpsborg 08 let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Aalesund stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aalesund
(Home)Sarpsborg 08
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54:20 | 50 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53:19 | 50 |
| 3 | Tromso | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40:29 | 38 |
| 4 | Molde | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44:32 | 36 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39:30 | 33 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28:29 | 32 |
| 7 | Brann | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:29 | 25 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:35 | 25 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | 23 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34:43 | 23 |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29:44 | 23 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33:46 | 21 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21:40 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22:44 | 16 |
