Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalesund vs Viking

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Color Line Stadion, Ålesund
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
05:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aalesund host Viking in the Eliteserien. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Viking have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Aalesund have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Aalesund have won 2 to Viking's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 2.00) point toward Viking. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aalesund
30%
Draws
34%
Viking
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aalesund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Viking have won more games recently than Aalesund.
  • Win probability leans Aalesund's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Aalesund Clean Sheet 10%
Viking Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund Viking
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 23
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.25 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 NM Cup
Viking vs Aalesund
1:2
Jun 25, 2025 NM Cup
Aalesund vs Viking
0:1
Nov 26, 2023 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Viking
0:4
Jul 24, 2023 Eliteserien
Viking vs Aalesund
3:1
Oct 2, 2022 Eliteserien
Aalesund vs Viking
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund 34 / 100
Viking 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund Viking

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Aalesund remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Viking has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund VS Viking
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund

(Home)
11 Jul
Aalesund
2 : 2
Molde
27 Jun
Kristiansund
0 : 3
Aalesund
29 May
Aalesund
2 : 2
Ham-Kam
25 May
Tromso
1 : 1
Aalesund
20 May
Aalesund
2 : 1
Brann
Page 1 of 6

Viking

(Away)
12 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Viking
03 Jul
Sonderjyske
1 : 1
Viking
24 May
Kristiansund
1 : 2
Viking
16 May
Viking
6 : 3
Start
10 May
KFUM Oslo
0 : 2
Viking
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tromso1484222:1428
2Viking1190229:1127
3Bodo/Glimt1282230:1126
4Lillestrom1271419:1122
5Molde1262420:1520
6Ham-Kam1153319:1818
7Sarpsborg 081252514:1617
8Brann1351726:2116
9Sandefjord1243512:1515
10Fredrikstad1242615:2214
11Valerenga1242613:2114
12Aalesund1226417:2212
13Rosenborg1233612:1812
14KFUM Oslo1233612:1912
15Kristiansund1232711:2111
16Start1314814:307
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)