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Aalesund W vs Molde W Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Color Line Stadion, Ålesund
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Sunde K.
Assist: Skretting I.
48' Event
Jeon Yu-Gyeong
Assist: Tuominen S.
62'
Sub
Tuominen S. In: Mahle S.
Out: Tuominen S.

AI Match Summary

The Toppserien Women game between Aalesund W and Molde W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalesund W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Aalesund W
20%
Draws
23%
Molde W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aalesund W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Molde W haven't matched Aalesund W's recent run of results.
  • Aalesund W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Toppserien Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aalesund W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Aalesund W Clean Sheet 20%
Molde W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund W Molde W
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 21 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.67 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Toppserien Women
Aalesund W vs Molde W
4:1
May 19, 2026 Norway Cup Women
Aalesund W vs Molde W
5:1
May 2, 2026 Toppserien Women
Molde W vs Aalesund W
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Aalesund W vs Molde W
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Aalesund W vs Molde W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aalesund W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sunde K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Skretting I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Molde W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeon Yu-Gyeong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund W 85 / 100
Molde W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund W Molde W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aalesund W scored in 96% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Molde W conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Aalesund W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund W VS Molde W
3.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund W

(Home)
26 Sept
Rosenborg W
1 : 1
Aalesund W
20 Sept
Aalesund W
4 : 1
Molde W
11 Sept
Bodo/Glimt W
0 : 2
Aalesund W
06 Sept
Brann W
3 : 1
Aalesund W
31 Aug
Honefoss W
0 : 1
Aalesund W
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Molde W

(Away)
26 Sept
Molde W
0 : 4
Valerenga W
20 Sept
Aalesund W
4 : 1
Molde W
13 Sept
Molde W
0 : 1
Honefoss W
22 Aug
Molde W
1 : 0
LSK Kvinner W
15 Aug
Roa W
1 : 1
Molde W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 17 15 2 0 53:4 47
2 Aalesund W 17 13 2 2 42:16 41
3 Rosenborg W 17 11 4 2 32:19 37
4 Valerenga W 17 11 1 5 45:24 34
5 Stabaek W 17 7 3 7 33:20 24
6 Lyn W 17 6 5 6 30:23 23
7 Molde W 17 5 3 9 23:33 18
8 Haugesund W 17 5 3 9 22:40 18
9 LSK Kvinner W 17 4 3 10 23:33 15
10 Honefoss W 17 3 4 10 13:30 13
11 Roa W 17 2 5 10 16:36 11
12 Bodo/Glimt W 17 1 3 13 11:65 6
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)