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Aalesund W vs Roa W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Color Line Stadion, Ålesund
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aalesund W host Roa W in the Toppserien Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Roa W have shipped 1.8 goals a game lately, while Aalesund W have conceded 1.07 and scored 2.74. Past meetings favor Roa W slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 26, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 2.81 vs 1.25, favoring Aalesund W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Aalesund W
20%
Draws
23%
Roa W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aalesund W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aalesund W come out ahead of Roa W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aalesund W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Roa W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Aalesund W Clean Sheet 19%
Roa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund W Roa W
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 22 6
Draws 2 8
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 2.74 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Toppserien Women
Roa W vs Aalesund W
2:3
Jun 30, 2009 Toppserien Women
Aalesund W vs Roa W
0:6
Jun 6, 2009 Toppserien Women
Roa W vs Aalesund W
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund W 85 / 100
Roa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund W Roa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund W found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (27 games).

Roa W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.33 goals when they meet.

Aalesund W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund W VS Roa W
3.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund W

(Home)
04 Oct
Brann W
1 : 2
Aalesund W
26 Sept
Rosenborg W
1 : 1
Aalesund W
20 Sept
Aalesund W
4 : 1
Molde W
11 Sept
Bodo/Glimt W
0 : 2
Aalesund W
06 Sept
Brann W
3 : 1
Aalesund W
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Roa W

(Away)
08 Oct
Grei W
1 : 0
Roa W
04 Oct
Roa W
2 : 1
LSK Kvinner W
25 Sept
Bodo/Glimt W
2 : 1
Roa W
19 Sept
Honefoss W
0 : 0
Roa W
11 Sept
Roa W
3 : 6
Valerenga W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 18 15 2 1 54:6 47
2 Aalesund W 18 14 2 2 44:17 44
3 Rosenborg W 18 11 5 2 33:20 38
4 Valerenga W 18 11 2 5 46:25 35
5 Stabaek W 18 8 3 7 36:20 27
6 Lyn W 18 7 5 6 34:26 26
7 Molde W 18 5 3 10 23:36 18
8 Haugesund W 18 5 3 10 25:44 18
9 Honefoss W 18 4 4 10 16:30 16
10 LSK Kvinner W 18 4 3 11 24:35 15
11 Roa W 18 3 5 10 18:37 14
12 Bodo/Glimt W 18 1 3 14 11:68 6
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)