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Aalesund W vs Valerenga W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Color Line Stadion, Ålesund
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aalesund W host Valerenga W in the Toppserien Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Aalesund W at 2.8 goals for, 0.93 against; Valerenga W at 2.53 for, 1.18 against. Head-to-head, Aalesund W have won 2 to Valerenga W's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 17, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.31 xG vs 1.75) point toward Aalesund W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Aalesund W
15%
Draws
39%
Valerenga W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Aalesund W have won more games recently than Valerenga W.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Aalesund W taking it.
  • Regular Toppserien Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aalesund W Clean Sheet 12%
Valerenga W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalesund W Valerenga W
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 23 21
Draws 2 3
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.8 2.53
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Norway Cup Women
Valerenga W vs Aalesund W
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Toppserien Women
Valerenga W vs Aalesund W
0:2
Jun 21, 2023 Norway Cup Women
Valerenga W vs Aalesund W
5:2
Aug 7, 2019 Norway Cup Women
Aalesund W vs Valerenga W
1:3
Aug 13, 2013 Norway Cup Women
Aalesund W vs Valerenga W
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalesund W 83 / 100
Valerenga W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalesund W Valerenga W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalesund W's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Valerenga W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Aalesund W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aalesund W VS Valerenga W
3.38 Goals Scored 2.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalesund W

(Home)
31 Oct
Stabaek W
1 : 0
Aalesund W
24 Oct
Aalesund W
3 : 0
LSK Kvinner W
20 Oct
Hodd W
0 : 13
Aalesund W
16 Oct
Aalesund W
1 : 0
Roa W
04 Oct
Brann W
1 : 2
Aalesund W
Page 1 of 6

Valerenga W

(Away)
02 Nov
Valerenga W
3 : 0
Lyn W
24 Oct
Brann W
1 : 0
Valerenga W
21 Oct
Stromsgodset W
0 : 3
Valerenga W
17 Oct
LSK Kvinner W
0 : 3
Valerenga W
04 Oct
Valerenga W
1 : 1
Rosenborg W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 21 17 3 1 60:8 54
2 Aalesund W 21 16 2 3 48:18 50
3 Rosenborg W 21 13 6 2 42:21 45
4 Valerenga W 21 13 2 6 52:26 41
5 Lyn W 21 9 5 7 40:31 32
6 Stabaek W 21 9 3 9 38:23 30
7 Haugesund W 21 7 3 11 29:46 24
8 Honefoss W 21 6 4 11 18:32 22
9 Molde W 21 6 3 12 27:41 21
10 Roa W 21 4 5 12 20:45 17
11 LSK Kvinner W 21 4 3 14 25:45 15
12 Bodo/Glimt W 21 1 3 17 14:77 6
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)