Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aalst vs Maldegem

Belgium Belgium

Belgium Third Division Group A 2005/2006 Pierre Cornelisstadion, Aalst
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Belgium Third Division Group A 2005/2006 game between Aalst and Maldegem finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalst.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Aalst
15%
Draws
21%
Maldegem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalst

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Aalst carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Aalst taking it.
  • Regular Belgium Third Division Group A 2005/2006 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Aalst have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aalst Clean Sheet 20%
Maldegem Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aalst Maldegem
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 20 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.91 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2006 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Aalst vs Maldegem
3:1
Jan 21, 2006 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Maldegem vs Aalst
3:1
Apr 6, 2003 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Aalst vs Maldegem
1:0
Nov 30, 2002 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Maldegem vs Aalst
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aalst 85 / 100
Maldegem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aalst Maldegem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalst Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalst scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Maldegem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Solid form: Aalst remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aalst VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aalst

(Home)
05 May
Aalst
1 : 3
Gullegem
28 Apr
KRC Harelbeke
1 : 0
Aalst
21 Apr
Aalst
3 : 0
Ninove
14 Apr
Olsa Brakel
2 : 3
Aalst
07 Apr
Aalst
4 : 1
Oostkamp
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Maldegem

(Away)
30 Jul
Jong Lede
2 : 1
Maldegem
31 Jul
Maldegem
0 : 3
Merelbeke
26 Jul
Maldegem
0 : 2
Berlare
03 Aug
Maldegem
1 : 7
Westhoek
28 Jul
Antoing
2 : 4
Maldegem
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dender 30 20 5 5 66:36 65
2 Cappellen 30 16 11 3 67:33 59
3 St. Wetteren 30 14 10 6 54:41 52
4 Sint Niklaas 30 13 9 8 55:30 48
5 KRC Harelbeke 30 15 3 12 48:39 48
6 Rac. Waregem 30 15 3 12 44:37 48
7 FC Turnhout 30 12 8 10 52:40 44
8 Diegem 30 13 5 12 36:44 44
9 Bruxelles 30 11 9 10 44:46 42
10 Torhout 30 9 14 7 51:47 41
11 Willebroek-Meerhof 30 8 13 9 42:48 37
12 KRC Mechelen 30 8 11 11 37:44 35
13 Maldegem 30 6 10 14 40:59 28
14 Aalst 30 7 4 19 31:67 25
15 Boom 30 3 10 17 29:59 19
16 Bornem 30 3 9 18 22:48 18
Promotion - EXQI League 2006/2007 (Main)