Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lara vs Atletico El Vigia

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2 Estadio Metropolitano de Cabudare, Barquisimeto
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Pernia H.
52' Event
Pernia H.
74' Event
Pena R.

AI Match Summary

Lara in this Liga FUTVE 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lara
15%
Draws
34%
Atletico El Vigia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lara lately — more wins on the board than Atletico El Vigia.
  • Win probability leans Lara's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lara Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico El Vigia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lara Atletico El Vigia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.71 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Lara vs Atletico El Vigia
3:0
Jul 29, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Lara
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Lara vs Atletico El Vigia
1:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Lara
2:2
Aug 24, 2016 Copa Venezuela
Atletico El Vigia vs Lara
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lara Compare

Top Goalscorer Pernia H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pena R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Atletico El Vigia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lara 85 / 100
Atletico El Vigia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lara Atletico El Vigia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lara scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Lara stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Atletico El Vigia conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lara VS Atletico El Vigia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lara

(Home)
30 Sept
Lara
4 : 0
Real Frontera
19 Sept
Yaracuyanos
0 : 1
Lara
16 Sept
Lara
3 : 0
Atletico El Vigia
13 Sept
Atletico Barinas
0 : 1
Lara
10 Sept
Lara
2 : 1
Trujillanos
Page 1 of 6

Atletico El Vigia

(Away)
30 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
4 : 3
Zamora 2
25 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello B
1 : 1
Atletico El Vigia
20 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
3 : 1
Real Frontera
16 Sept
Lara
3 : 0
Atletico El Vigia
13 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
1 : 0
Yaracuyanos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 27 18 6 3 46:20 60
2 Barquisimeto 28 15 8 5 50:28 53
3 Urena 28 12 9 7 41:34 45
4 Yaracuyanos 28 12 7 9 37:27 43
5 Zamora 2 28 11 7 10 45:40 40
6 Atletico El Vigia 29 10 7 12 36:48 37
7 Academia Puerto Cabello B 29 8 7 14 36:43 31
8 Atletico Barinas 29 9 4 16 50:61 31
9 Real Frontera 28 3 3 22 22:62 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 23 13 6 4 39:24 45
2 Deportivo Miranda 23 12 5 6 30:18 41
3 Aragua 24 10 9 5 26:17 39
4 Bolivar 24 11 4 9 29:28 37
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 23 7 8 8 25:25 29
6 Mineros 24 4 9 11 26:31 21
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 23 2 10 11 12:29 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)