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Aarau vs Grasshoppers

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Stadion Brügglifeld, Aarau
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Jackle O.
39'
Meyer T.
41'
Obexer L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Aarau
20%
Draws
10%
Grasshoppers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aarau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Aarau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aarau a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Aarau have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aarau, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aarau Clean Sheet 14%
Grasshoppers Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarau Grasshoppers
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.93 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Super League
Grasshoppers vs Aarau
2:1
May 18, 2026 Super League
Aarau vs Grasshoppers
0:0
May 30, 2025 Super League
Aarau vs Grasshoppers
1:0
May 27, 2025 Super League
Grasshoppers vs Aarau
4:0
Sep 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Grasshoppers vs Aarau
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarau 84 / 100
Grasshoppers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarau Grasshoppers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarau's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Grasshoppers conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Aarau stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aarau VS Grasshoppers
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarau

(Home)
07 Aug
Aarau
2 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
01 Aug
Aarau
1 : 1
Lausanne Ouchy
24 Jul
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 0
Aarau
18 Jul
Aarau
2 : 1
Union Berlin
10 Jul
A. Lustenau
1 : 0
Aarau
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Grasshoppers

(Away)
08 Aug
Servette
2 : 1
Grasshoppers
02 Aug
Grasshoppers
1 : 4
Lugano
25 Jul
Lausanne
1 : 1
Grasshoppers
18 Jul
Altach
3 : 1
Grasshoppers
11 Jul
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Grasshoppers
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Grasshoppers 2
Aarau 1