Sport Picks

Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Stadion Brügglifeld

Rapperswil-Jona

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aarau play Rapperswil-Jona in the Challenge League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aarau averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Rapperswil-Jona averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Aarau won 4, Rapperswil-Jona won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 4:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Aarau and 1.00 for Rapperswil-Jona. This points to a Rapperswil-Jona double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Aarau

40%

Draws

30%

Rapperswil-Jona

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Rapperswil-Jona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Aarau picked up more points recently compared to Rapperswil-Jona.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 75%

Over 3.5 Goals 45%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Aarau Clean Sheet 23%

Rapperswil-Jona Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aarau	Rapperswil-Jona
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	14	14
Draws	6	2
Losses	9	14
Goals Scored	2.03	1.77
Goals Conceded	1.79	1.77
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Challenge League

Rapperswil-Jona vs Aarau

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

4:5

Feb 27, 2026 Challenge League

Aarau vs Rapperswil-Jona

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

5:3

Nov 1, 2025 Challenge League

Aarau vs Rapperswil-Jona

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 4 - 4

2:1

Aug 29, 2025 Challenge League

Rapperswil-Jona vs Aarau

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly

Rapperswil-Jona vs Aarau

Possession: 51% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarau Compare

Top Goalscorer Vladi S.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Fazliu V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Rapperswil-Jona Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamberi F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Saliji R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarau 32 / 100

Rapperswil-Jona 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aarau Rapperswil-Jona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rapperswil-Jona or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aarau attacking → ← attacking Rapperswil-Jona

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarau scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Rapperswil-Jona let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Aarau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rapperswil-Jona lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 44

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vaduz	36	25	6	5	75:41	81
2	Aarau	36	25	5	6	77:47	80
3	Yverdon	36	20	7	9	75:48	67
4	Lausanne Ouchy	36	14	8	14	59:51	50
5	Xamax	36	14	7	15	55:56	49
6	Rapperswil-Jona	36	14	2	20	52:62	44
7	Etoile-Carouge	36	10	10	16	46:54	40
8	Wil	36	10	10	16	39:55	40
9	Stade Nyonnais	36	5	13	18	33:60	28
10	Bellinzona	36	5	8	23	40:77	23