Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stadion Brügglifeld, Aarau
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Brandy E.
8'
Petit-Viretti V.
24'
Sub
Brandy E. In: Grognuz N.
Out: Brandy E.

AI Match Summary

Aarau in this Challenge League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aarau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aarau
20%
Draws
29%
Stade Nyonnais
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aarau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aarau lately — more wins on the board than Stade Nyonnais.
  • Aarau are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Aarau Clean Sheet 18%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarau Stade Nyonnais
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 3
Draws 7 11
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.96 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Challenge League
Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais
2:1
May 8, 2026 Challenge League
Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais
5:1
Feb 20, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Challenge League
Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais
0:1
Aug 22, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau
4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarau Compare

Top Goalscorer Koide H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baturina R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Stade Nyonnais Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarau 40 / 100
Stade Nyonnais 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarau Stade Nyonnais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarau's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Stade Nyonnais let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aarau stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aarau VS Stade Nyonnais
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarau

(Home)
23 Aug
Yverdon
2 : 1
Aarau
16 Aug
Biel
3 : 4
Aarau
07 Aug
Aarau
2 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
01 Aug
Aarau
1 : 1
Lausanne Ouchy
24 Jul
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 0
Aarau
Page 1 of 6

Stade Nyonnais

(Away)
21 Aug
Stade Nyonnais
0 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
15 Aug
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 3
Stade Nyonnais
07 Aug
Aarau
2 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
31 Jul
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
24 Jul
Lausanne Ouchy
2 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Xamax 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Yverdon 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
4 Winterthur 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
5 Kriens 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
6 Etoile-Carouge 4 1 2 1 4:2 5
7 Aarau 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
8 Rapperswil-Jona 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
9 Wil 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
10 Stade Nyonnais 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)