Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Aarau host Yverdon in the Challenge League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Yverdon have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Aarau have conceded 1.57 and scored 1.71. Past meetings favor Aarau slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.31 - 2.13) back Yverdon to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Yverdon lately — more wins on the board than Aarau.
- Win probability leans Yverdon's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aarau | Yverdon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Aarau scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Yverdon conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Aarau went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aarau
(Home)Yverdon
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lausanne Ouchy | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 23:5 | 28 |
| 2 | Winterthur | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 26:11 | 24 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 22 |
| 4 | Kriens | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:19 | 16 |
| 5 | Xamax | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 6 | Aarau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:21 | 15 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:17 | 13 |
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18:25 | 11 |
| 9 | Wil | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 18:27 | 11 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:29 | 8 |
