Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Senyurt B.
58'
58'
Sub
Berisha V. In: Comenencia L.
Out: Berisha V.
60'
60'
Aliu I.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zurich
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Aarau lately — more wins on the board than Zurich.
- Model gives Zurich a 65% chance of winning this.
- Aarau have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Aarau, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Aarau Clean Sheet 10%
Zurich Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aarau | Zurich |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 18, 2026 Swiss Cup
Aarau vs Zurich
2:0
Jul 3, 2021 Club Friendly
Zurich vs Aarau
0:1
Jun 9, 2020 Club Friendly
Zurich vs Aarau
5:1
Jan 9, 2019 Club Friendly
Zurich vs Aarau
4:3
Nov 9, 2017 Club Friendly
Zurich vs Aarau
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aarau Compare
Top Goalscorer Afriyie D.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Zurich Compare
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aarau 18 / 100
Zurich 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aarau Zurich
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zurich Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aarau scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Zurich let in goals in 100% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Aarau went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aarau VS Zurich
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Aarau
(Home) 18 Oct
Aarau
2 : 0 Zurich
09 Oct
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 1 Aarau
02 Oct
Aarau
1 : 2 Young Boys
24 Sept
Grasshoppers
4 : 1 Aarau
18 Sept
Winterthur
2 : 1 Aarau
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Aarau
2 : 0 Zurich
02 Oct
Aarau
1 : 2 Young Boys
12 Sept
Aarau
2 : 2 Kriens
04 Sept
Aarau
3 : 2 Rapperswil-Jona
28 Aug
Aarau
2 : 1 Xamax
Page 1 of 3
Zurich
(Away) 18 Oct
Aarau
2 : 0 Zurich
10 Oct
Zurich
4 : 2 Thun
25 Sept
Zurich
3 : 1 Xamax
19 Sept
Sion
1 : 1 Zurich
13 Sept
Zurich
2 : 1 Vaduz
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Aarau
2 : 0 Zurich
19 Sept
Sion
1 : 1 Zurich
05 Sept
Grasshoppers
2 : 2 Zurich
29 Aug
Lausanne
2 : 3 Zurich
14 Aug
Tuggen
1 : 2 Zurich
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Kaufdorf 0
Old Boys 5
Terre Sainte 0
Yverdon 5
Rorschach 2
Schaffhausen 4
FC Saxon-Sports 0
Thun 6
Mutschellen 3
FC Winkeln SG 4
Kosova Neuchatel 0
Lausanne 6
Courrendlin-Courroux 0
Grenchen 1
Regensdorf 0
Grasshoppers 5
Koniz 3
Munsingen 1
Wiesendangen 0
Bruhl SG 6
Biel 3
Aarau 4
Tuggen 1
Zurich 2
Young Fellows Juventus 1
Rapperswil-Jona 6
Thalwil 0
St. Gallen 3
Pully 2
Genolier-Begnins 0
Vedeggio 1
Lugano 10
FC Interlaken 1
Bulle 4
Rebstein 2
Wil 6
Zurich City SC 1
Winterthur 3
Buochs 0
Luzern 3
Taverne 2
Brunnen 1
Liestal 0
Young Boys 4
Amical Saint-Prex 1
Stade Nyonnais 3
Courtetelle 1
Basel 6
CS Italien 1
Lausanne Ouchy 8
Collex-Bossy 0
Etoile-Carouge 2
Cham 2
Kriens 0
Kerzers 1
Sion 6
FC Aesch 1
Langenthal 5
Meyrin 0
Xamax 1
Rotkreuz 4
Bellinzona 1
Bavois 0
Servette 7
1/16-finals
Old Boys 1
Yverdon 2
Schaffhausen 2
Thun 3
FC Winkeln SG 0
Lausanne 7
Grenchen 0
Grasshoppers 8
Koniz 0
Bruhl SG 2
Aarau 2
Zurich 0
Rapperswil-Jona 0
St. Gallen 2
Pully 0
Lugano 4
Bulle 0
Wil 1
Winterthur 0
Luzern 1
Taverne 0
Young Boys 5
Stade Nyonnais 0
Basel 3
Lausanne Ouchy 3
Etoile-Carouge 0
Cham 0
Sion 2
Langenthal 2
Xamax 3
Rotkreuz 0
Servette 4
1/8-finals
Yverdon -
Thun -
Lausanne -
Grasshoppers -
Bruhl SG -
Aarau -
St. Gallen -
Lugano -
Wil -
Luzern -
Young Boys -
Basel -
Lausanne Ouchy -
Sion -
Xamax -
Servette -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
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