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Aarau W vs Basel W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aarau W host Basel W in the Super League Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Aarau W at 0.69 goals for, 2.31 against; Basel W at 1.45 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor Basel W slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 15, 2025, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 2.56) point toward Basel W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Aarau W
35%
Draws
56%
Basel W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Basel W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Basel W come out ahead of Aarau W on wins alone.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Basel W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Basel W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Aarau W Clean Sheet 10%
Basel W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarau W Basel W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.69 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Basel W
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Super League Women
Basel W vs Aarau W
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 Super League Women
Basel W vs Aarau W
4:0
Apr 12, 2025 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Basel W
1:2
Nov 17, 2024 Super League Women
Basel W vs Aarau W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarau W 14 / 100
Basel W 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarau W Basel W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Basel W conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Aarau W scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Aarau W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aarau W VS Basel W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
3.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarau W

(Home)
03 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona W
5 : 2
Aarau W
19 Sept
Aarau W
1 : 2
Young Boys W
13 Sept
Yverdon W
4 : 1
Aarau W
09 Sept
St. Gallen W
2 : 2
Aarau W
05 Sept
Aarau W
0 : 1
Luzern W
Page 1 of 6

Basel W

(Away)
03 Oct
Yverdon W
3 : 2
Basel W
19 Sept
Basel W
2 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona W
13 Sept
Zurich W
1 : 1
Basel W
09 Sept
Basel W
1 : 1
Grasshopper W
04 Sept
Basel W
1 : 0
St. Gallen W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Servette W 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
2 Grasshopper W 8 5 2 1 23:8 17
3 Zurich W 8 4 3 1 21:10 15
4 Young Boys W 8 4 3 1 14:10 15
5 Basel W 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
6 Luzern W 8 3 2 3 13:11 11
7 Yverdon W 8 2 2 4 14:16 8
8 Rapperswil-Jona W 8 2 2 4 15:20 8
9 St. Gallen W 8 1 1 6 7:21 4
10 Aarau W 8 0 1 7 7:30 1
Promotion - Super League Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Super League Women (Relegation)