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Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Riisvangen, Aarhus
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Kirchheiner M.
44' Event
Riisgaard L.
46'
Sub
Hapnes A. In: Moller V.
Out: Hapnes A.

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Aarhus Fremad and Aalborg finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aarhus Fremad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Aarhus Fremad
35%
Draws
28%
Aalborg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aarhus Fremad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aarhus Fremad come out ahead of Aalborg on wins alone.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 20%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarhus Fremad Aalborg
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg
1:2
May 22, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg
5:0
Apr 18, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad
3:1
Mar 6, 2026 1st Division
Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad
0:1
Aug 29, 2025 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarhus Fremad Compare

Top Goalscorer Riisgaard L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nygaard C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Aalborg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus Fremad 31 / 100
Aalborg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarhus Fremad Aalborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarhus Fremad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Aarhus Fremad scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Aarhus Fremad stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aarhus Fremad VS Aalborg
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus Fremad

(Home)
19 Sept
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 3
Hvidovre IF
16 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
11 Sept
Vendsyssel FF
0 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
06 Sept
Aarhus Fremad
2 : 1
Kolding IF
30 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
0 : 0
Vejle
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Aalborg

(Away)
20 Sept
Aalborg
2 : 2
Vendsyssel FF
12 Sept
Hvidovre IF
2 : 2
Aalborg
05 Sept
AB Copenhagen
0 : 2
Aalborg
29 Aug
Aalborg
0 : 0
Koge
25 Aug
Vatanspor
2 : 1
Aalborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)