Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aarhus vs Brondby

Denmark Denmark

Superliga New Vejlby Stadium, Aarhus
Aarhus Logo

Aarhus

1 - 1
FT
Brondby Logo

Brondby

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Kohlert M.
26'
Slisz B.
46'
Sub
Kohlert M. In: Divkovic M.
Out: Kohlert M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Superliga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Aarhus
15%
Draws
51%
Brondby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brondby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Brondby have won more games recently than Aarhus.
  • Aarhus are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%
Brondby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarhus Brondby
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.69 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Superliga
Aarhus vs Brondby
1:1
May 10, 2026 Superliga
Brondby vs Aarhus
0:2
Mar 22, 2026 Superliga
Aarhus vs Brondby
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Superliga
Brondby vs Aarhus
3:3
Sep 21, 2025 Superliga
Aarhus vs Brondby
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarhus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Brondby Compare

Top Goalscorer Slisz B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus 65 / 100
Brondby 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarhus Brondby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarhus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarhus found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Brondby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Brondby has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aarhus VS Brondby
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus

(Home)
16 Sept
Skjold
1 : 6
Aarhus
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0
Aarhus
05 Sept
Aarhus
2 : 2
Silkeborg
02 Sept
Aarhus
0 : 2
Midtjylland
30 Aug
Randers FC
2 : 1
Aarhus
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Brondby

(Away)
17 Sept
Vejle
1 : 2
Brondby
14 Sept
Midtjylland
4 : 1
Brondby
06 Sept
Brondby
0 : 3
Randers FC
30 Aug
Nordsjaelland
3 : 1
Brondby
24 Aug
Brondby
3 : 1
Silkeborg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Copenhagen 8 7 0 1 22:8 21
2 Midtjylland 8 5 3 0 16:8 18
3 Nordsjaelland 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
4 Viborg 8 4 2 2 11:7 14
5 Brondby 8 4 1 3 12:14 13
6 Silkeborg 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
7 Horsens 8 3 1 4 13:14 10
8 Randers FC 8 3 1 4 9:10 10
9 Odense 8 2 2 4 7:13 8
10 Lyngby 9 1 4 4 10:16 7
11 Aarhus 8 0 4 4 9:15 4
12 Sonderjyske 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation Group)