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Cavalry vs Forge FC

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League ATCO Field, Foothills County, AB
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Paton H.
36'
Massunda H.
57'
Sub
Edwards N. In: Ntignee G.
Out: Edwards N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Canadian Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Cavalry
35%
Draws
27%
Forge FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cavalry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Forge FC lately — more wins on the board than Cavalry.
  • Cavalry are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 20%
Forge FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavalry Forge FC
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 18 19
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.93 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Forge FC
1:1
Aug 15, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Forge FC
2:1
May 31, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Cavalry
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Cavalry
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Cavalry
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavalry Compare

Top Goalscorer Antoniuk O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Forge FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jensen N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavalry 42 / 100
Forge FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavalry Forge FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavalry found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Cavalry went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Forge FC let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cavalry VS Forge FC
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavalry

(Home)
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
13 Sept
Pacific FC
0 : 1
Cavalry
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
29 Aug
Cavalry
1 : 0
Vancouver FC
22 Aug
Cavalry
3 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
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Forge FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
12 Sept
Forge FC
3 : 0
Atletico Ottawa
05 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 1
Inter Toronto
01 Sept
Supra du Quebec
1 : 1
Forge FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 23 16 5 2 48:13 53
2 Forge FC 23 14 5 4 35:17 47
3 Atletico Ottawa 24 11 4 9 35:39 37
4 Vancouver FC 25 9 6 10 35:33 33
5 HFX Wanderers 24 7 5 12 35:39 26
6 Supra du Quebec 23 7 4 12 31:44 25
7 Inter Toronto 23 5 9 9 36:53 24
8 Pacific FC 23 2 8 13 30:47 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)