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Metapan vs Luis Angel Firpo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez, Metapán
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
2 - 1
02:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Mercado M.
35' Event
Cartagena M.
42' Event
Corea D.

AI Match Summary

Metapan host Luis Angel Firpo in the Primera Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Luis Angel Firpo have shipped 0.94 goals a game lately, while Metapan have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor Metapan slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (0.81 - 1.19) back Luis Angel Firpo to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Metapan
35%
Draws
37%
Luis Angel Firpo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Luis Angel Firpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Luis Angel Firpo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Metapan Clean Sheet 20%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metapan Luis Angel Firpo
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Metapan
1:2
May 10, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Metapan
1:1
May 7, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:2
Apr 16, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Metapan
0:2
Feb 19, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Cartagena M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corea D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Luis Angel Firpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercado M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metapan 36 / 100
Luis Angel Firpo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metapan Luis Angel Firpo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luis Angel Firpo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Metapan scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Metapan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Luis Angel Firpo conceded in 58% of 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Metapan VS Luis Angel Firpo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Metapan

(Home)
11 Nov
Metapan
2 : 1
Platense Municipal
07 Nov
Inca Aruba
1 : 1
Metapan
01 Nov
Metapan
1 : 1
Municipal Limeno
24 Oct
Alianza FC
1 : 0
Metapan
22 Oct
FAS
0 : 0
Metapan
Page 1 of 6

Luis Angel Firpo

(Away)
10 Nov
Cacahuatique
1 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
08 Nov
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
05 Nov
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Alianza FC
01 Nov
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 1
FAS
29 Oct
Saprissa
2 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luis Angel Firpo 20 11 7 2 35:15 40
2 Metapan 20 10 5 5 27:21 35
3 FAS 20 9 7 4 33:23 34
4 Aguila 20 8 7 5 37:28 31
5 Inter Santa Tecla 20 6 10 4 27:20 28
6 Platense Municipal 20 7 6 7 26:24 27
7 Alianza FC 20 6 8 6 26:27 26
8 Municipal Limeno 21 6 6 9 32:33 24
9 Atletico Balboa 20 6 5 9 25:32 23
10 Cacahuatique 20 4 8 8 22:30 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 21 3 8 10 21:36 17
12 Inca Aruba 20 4 5 11 15:37 17
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)