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Aarhus vs Horsens Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Hyseni M. In: Justinussen A.
Out: Hyseni M.
46'
Sub
Batigi J. In: Kirkegaard K.
Out: Batigi J.
46'
Sub
Tauriainen J. In: Ouorou Y.
Out: Tauriainen J.

AI Match Summary

Aarhus in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aarhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aarhus
30%
Draws
39%
Horsens
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Horsens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Horsens lately — more wins on the board than Aarhus.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Horsens taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aarhus have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%
Horsens Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarhus Horsens
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.84 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Superliga
Horsens vs Aarhus
2:2
Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Aarhus vs Horsens
2:0
Jul 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Aarhus vs Horsens
2:1
Jun 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Horsens vs Aarhus
0:3
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Aarhus vs Horsens
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tchamche S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Horsens Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus 26 / 100
Horsens 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarhus Horsens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horsens Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarhus scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Horsens has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Aarhus remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aarhus VS Horsens
1 Goals Scored 2.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus

(Home)
02 Oct
Aarhus
2 : 1
Vendsyssel FF
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2
Aarhus
16 Sept
Skjold
1 : 6
Aarhus
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0
Aarhus
05 Sept
Aarhus
2 : 2
Silkeborg
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Horsens

(Away)
02 Oct
Horsens
2 : 1
Vejle
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2
Aarhus
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
11 Sept
FC Copenhagen
2 : 0
Horsens
06 Sept
Sonderjyske
2 : 5
Horsens
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