Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aarhus vs Horsens

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Hyseni M. In: Justinussen A.
Out: Hyseni M.
46'
Sub
Batigi J. In: Kirkegaard K.
Out: Batigi J.
46'
Sub
Tauriainen J. In: Ouorou Y.
Out: Tauriainen J.

AI Match Summary

Aarhus in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aarhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Aarhus
22%
Draws
18%
Horsens
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Aarhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aarhus lately — more wins on the board than Horsens.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Aarhus taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aarhus have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 16%
Horsens Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarhus Horsens
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Aarhus vs Horsens
2:0
Jul 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Aarhus vs Horsens
2:1
Jun 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Horsens vs Aarhus
0:3
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Aarhus vs Horsens
2:1
Mar 3, 2023 Superliga
Aarhus vs Horsens
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tchamche S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Horsens Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus 57 / 100
Horsens 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarhus Horsens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarhus scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Aarhus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Horsens has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aarhus VS Horsens
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus

(Home)
21 Jul
Aarhus
1 : 4
Lech Poznan
15 Jul
Aarhus
2 : 0
Horsens
11 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1
Aarhus
05 Jul
Aarhus
4 : 0
Motherwell
27 Jun
Aarhus
1 : 1
Viborg
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Horsens

(Away)
18 Jul
Vendsyssel FF
1 : 0
Horsens
15 Jul
Aarhus
2 : 0
Horsens
11 Jul
FC Copenhagen
3 : 2
Horsens
04 Jul
Horsens
2 : 0
Hobro
27 Jun
Nordsjaelland
1 : 1
Horsens
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