Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aarhus vs Midtjylland

Denmark Denmark

Superliga 2025/2026 New Vejlby Stadium, Aarhus
Aarhus Logo

Aarhus

0 - 0
FT
Midtjylland Logo

Midtjylland

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Serra J. In: Mortensen P.
Out: Serra J.
58'
Sub
Cho Gue-Sung In: Gluda Dju F.
Out: Cho Gue-Sung
58'
Sub
Osorio D. In: Castillo D.
Out: Osorio D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Superliga 2025/2026 game between Aarhus and Midtjylland finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Aarhus
28%
Draws
50%
Midtjylland
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Midtjylland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aarhus come out ahead of Midtjylland on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Midtjylland taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%
Midtjylland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarhus Midtjylland
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.63 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Superliga
Aarhus vs Midtjylland
0:0
Apr 20, 2026 Superliga
Midtjylland vs Aarhus
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 Betano Pokalen
Midtjylland vs Aarhus
1:1
Feb 12, 2026 Betano Pokalen
Aarhus vs Midtjylland
0:1
Nov 3, 2025 Superliga
Midtjylland vs Aarhus
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus 22 / 100
Midtjylland 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarhus Midtjylland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MID Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarhus scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Midtjylland conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Aarhus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aarhus VS Midtjylland
2.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus

(Home)
29 Jul
Lech Poznan
1 : 5
Aarhus
25 Jul
Aarhus
1 : 1
Brondby
21 Jul
Aarhus
1 : 4
Lech Poznan
15 Jul
Aarhus
2 : 0
Horsens
11 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1
Aarhus
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Midtjylland

(Away)
26 Jul
Sonderjyske
2 : 3
Midtjylland
23 Jul
Besiktas
1 : 0
Midtjylland
17 Jul
Midtjylland
4 : 1
Odense
11 Jul
Cardiff
0 : 6
Midtjylland
04 Jul
Midtjylland
4 : 2
Silkeborg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aarhus321910362:3267
2Midtjylland321612472:3660
3Nordsjaelland321551251:4650
4Brondby321361344:3545
5Viborg321351449:5144
6Sonderjyske321281244:4944
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)