Sport Picks
Aarhus vs Sabah Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
Champions League Cepheus Park, Randers 
Match Events
29'
29'
Sub
Tingager F. In: Andersen J.
Out: Tingager F.
31'
31'
Bogere J.
33'
33'
Dambrauskas V.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sabah Baku
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Aarhus haven't matched Sabah Baku's recent run of results.
- Aarhus are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Sabah Baku arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Aarhus, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 68%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aarhus | Sabah Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Champions League
Sabah Baku vs Aarhus
4:0
Aug 5, 2026 Champions League
Aarhus vs Sabah Baku
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aarhus Compare
Top Goalscorer Bogere J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Sabah Baku Compare
Top Goalscorer Simic V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aarhus 77 / 100
Sabah Baku 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aarhus Sabah Baku
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aarhus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aarhus scored in 85% of their last 27 games.
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Aarhus remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Sabah Baku let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Aarhus VS Sabah Baku
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Aarhus
(Home) 02 Oct
Aarhus
2 : 1 Vendsyssel FF
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2 Aarhus
16 Sept
Skjold
1 : 6 Aarhus
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0 Aarhus
05 Sept
Aarhus
2 : 2 Silkeborg
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Aarhus
2 : 1 Vendsyssel FF
05 Sept
Aarhus
2 : 2 Silkeborg
02 Sept
Aarhus
0 : 2 Midtjylland
27 Aug
Aarhus
1 : 3 Benfica
23 Aug
Aarhus
2 : 2 Odense
Page 1 of 3
Sabah Baku
(Away) 09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0 Sabah Baku
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1 Imisli FK
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3 Sabah Baku
10 Sept
Manchester United
4 : 0 Sabah Baku
05 Sept
Sabah Baku
5 : 0 Zira FK
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0 Sabah Baku
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3 Sabah Baku
10 Sept
Manchester United
4 : 0 Sabah Baku
31 Aug
Araz PFK
0 : 1 Sabah Baku
19 Aug
H. Beer Sheva
2 : 1 Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah Baku 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah Baku 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah Baku 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia 0
AEK 4
Celtic 4
LASK Linz 5
Din. Zagreb 3
Viking 5
Slovan Bratislava 3
Celje 2
H. Beer Sheva 4
Sabah Baku 6
Fenerbahce 3
Lyon 2
Nijmegen 1
Bodo/Glimt 6
