Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aarhus vs Sabah Baku

Europe Europe

Champions League Cepheus Park, Randers
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Sub
Tingager F. In: Andersen J.
Out: Tingager F.
31' Event
Bogere J.
33'
Dambrauskas V.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aarhus
15%
Draws
54%
Sabah Baku
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sabah Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Aarhus haven't matched Sabah Baku's recent run of results.
  • Aarhus are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Sabah Baku arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aarhus, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 68%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarhus Sabah Baku
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 19
Draws 10 5
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.82 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Champions League
Sabah Baku vs Aarhus
4:0
Aug 5, 2026 Champions League
Aarhus vs Sabah Baku
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogere J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Simic V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus 50 / 100
Sabah Baku 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarhus Sabah Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarhus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarhus scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Sabah Baku conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Aarhus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aarhus VS Sabah Baku
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus

(Home)
14 Aug
Viborg
2 : 1
Aarhus
11 Aug
Sabah Baku
4 : 0
Aarhus
05 Aug
Aarhus
2 : 1
Sabah Baku
01 Aug
Lyngby
2 : 2
Aarhus
29 Jul
Lech Poznan
1 : 5
Aarhus
Page 1 of 6

Sabah Baku

(Away)
15 Aug
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Kapaz
11 Aug
Sabah Baku
4 : 0
Aarhus
05 Aug
Aarhus
2 : 1
Sabah Baku
28 Jul
KuPS
0 : 2
Sabah Baku
21 Jul
Sabah Baku
1 : 0
KuPS
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah Baku 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah Baku 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah Baku 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia -
AEK -
Celtic -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb -
Viking -
Slovan Bratislava -
Celje -
H. Beer Sheva -
Sabah Baku -
Fenerbahce -
Lyon -
Nijmegen -
Bodo/Glimt -