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Stadium Background

Aarhus vs Sonderjyske - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

Superliga New Vejlby Stadium, Aarhus
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aarhus host Sonderjyske in the Superliga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Aarhus at 1.81 goals for, 1.53 against; Sonderjyske at 1.24 for, 1.83 against. Head-to-head, Aarhus have won 2 to Sonderjyske's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.94) point toward Aarhus. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Aarhus
30%
Draws
33%
Sonderjyske
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aarhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Aarhus have won more games recently than Sonderjyske.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Aarhus taking it.
  • Regular Superliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%
Sonderjyske Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aarhus Sonderjyske
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.81 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Superliga
Aarhus vs Sonderjyske
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Superliga
Sonderjyske vs Aarhus
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Superliga
Aarhus vs Sonderjyske
2:3
Oct 29, 2025 Betano Pokalen
Aarhus vs Sonderjyske
2:1
Jul 20, 2025 Superliga
Sonderjyske vs Aarhus
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aarhus 65 / 100
Sonderjyske 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aarhus Sonderjyske

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarhus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarhus's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sonderjyske conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Aarhus remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aarhus VS Sonderjyske
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aarhus

(Home)
02 Oct
Aarhus
2 : 1
Vendsyssel FF
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2
Aarhus
16 Sept
Skjold
1 : 6
Aarhus
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0
Aarhus
05 Sept
Aarhus
2 : 2
Silkeborg
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Sonderjyske

(Away)
20 Sept
Sonderjyske
4 : 2
Randers FC
16 Sept
AB Copenhagen
3 : 1
Sonderjyske
13 Sept
Lyngby
1 : 1
Sonderjyske
06 Sept
Sonderjyske
2 : 5
Horsens
03 Sept
Thisted FC
0 : 2
Sonderjyske
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Copenhagen 9 8 0 1 23:8 24
2 Midtjylland 9 5 4 0 17:9 19
3 Viborg 9 5 2 2 15:8 17
4 Nordsjaelland 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
5 Brondby 9 4 1 4 12:15 13
6 Horsens 9 3 2 4 15:16 11
7 Silkeborg 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
8 Randers FC 9 3 1 5 11:14 10
9 Odense 9 2 3 4 8:14 9
10 Lyngby 9 1 4 4 10:16 7
11 Aarhus 9 0 5 4 11:17 5
12 Sonderjyske 9 1 2 6 12:21 5
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation Group)