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Aars IK vs Herlev

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
41' Event
46' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-5, with Herlev advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Aars IK
15%
Draws
51%
Herlev
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Herlev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Herlev come out ahead of Aars IK on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Herlev taking it.
  • Herlev arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Herlev, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Aars IK Clean Sheet 20%
Herlev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aars IK Herlev
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 3 8
Draws 0 2
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 1.25 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2011 Betano Pokalen
Aars IK vs Herlev
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aars IK 24 / 100
Herlev 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aars IK Herlev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Herlev Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herlev let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Aars IK's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Solid form: Aars IK remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Herlev
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aars IK

(Home)
11 Aug
Aars IK
0 : 3
Vejgaard
13 Aug
Aars IK
0 : 2
Jammerbugt
20 Sept
Aars IK
2 : 5
Herlev
31 Aug
Aars IK
1 : 0
Lindholm
09 Aug
Koldby/Hordum
0 : 2
Aars IK
Page 1 of 2

Herlev

(Away)
19 Jan
Vanlose
0 : 4
Herlev
01 Aug
Herlev
0 : 2
Gladsaxe
03 Sept
Herlev
1 : 4
Ishoj IF
06 Aug
Vigerslev
0 : 1
Herlev
09 Mar
Herlev
2 : 1
Bronshoj
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Horsens -
TBD -
Aarhus Fremad 1
Holstebro 2
Dollefjelde-Musse 2
Toreby-Graenge 0
Avedore 2
AB Copenhagen 3
Aars IK 2
Koldby/Hordum 0
Frederikshavn 0
Lindholm 5
Bronshoj 3
Greve IF 0
Avarta 0
Herlev 3
Viborg 2
Skive 1
TBD -
Aalborg -
B 1908 2
Egedal 1
Asnaes 0
Holbaek 6
Odense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skovbakken -
TBD -
Harte 1
Fredericia 4
Vejle 6
Funder 2
Aabenraa 2
Herning KFUM 4
Viby 6
Vejlby Risskov 2
Odder 1
Ringkobing 2
Hvidovre IF 5
Vaerebro 1
Frederikssund 0
Vanlose 6
Jammerbugt -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
Roskilde 8
Nakskov 0
TBD -
Lyngby -
Fredensborg 3
Gladsaxe-Hero 1
Tommerup 0
Svendborg 9
Esbjerg 3
FC Sydvest 05 1
Nyborg G&IF 1
OKS Odense 2
Hellerup 6
Bornholm 2
TBD -
Koge -
Sonderjyske -
TBD -
Lyseng 0
Brabrand 2
Helsinge 3
Boldklubben FIX 0
Ringsted 1
Svebolle 5
Marienlyst 5
Tved 1
Aalborg Chang 1
Thisted FC 3
Skanderborg 3
Varde 1
Aalborg Freja 0
Hobro 3
Silkeborg -
TBD -
Middelfart 4
FC Fyn 5
Langeskov 5
Fjordager 1
Djursland 1
Randers FC 8
Naestved IF 1
Nykobing 0
FB 1
Allerod 3
BK Frem 3
Boldklubben 1893 1
Otterup 1
Naesby 2
Nordsjaelland -
TBD -
KFUMs BK 2
Hillerod 3
Tjorring 2
Esbjerg IF 92 1
Skagen IK 0
Vendsyssel FF 7
Jaegersborg 4
Rodovre 1
Ledoje-Smorum 1
Sollerod-Ved. 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Brondby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastrup 5
Femhoj 4
Skjold 0
Helsingor 3
Slagelse 4
Rishoj 0
BK Glostrup Albertsund 3
BSF 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
1/32-finals
Horsens 5
Holstebro 0
Dollefjelde-Musse 0
AB Copenhagen 3
Aars IK 1
Lindholm 0
Bronshoj 0
Herlev 0
Viborg 3
Aalborg 2
B 1908 2
Holbaek 3
Odense -
TBD -
Skovbakken 1
Fredericia 3
Vejle 7
Herning KFUM 2
Viby 4
Ringkobing 6
Hvidovre IF 5
Vanlose 1
Jammerbugt 2
Aarhus 5
Roskilde 2
Lyngby 1
Fredensborg 2
Svendborg 4
Esbjerg 4
OKS Odense 1
Hellerup 0
Koge 2
Sonderjyske 1
Brabrand 0
Helsinge 1
Svebolle 4
Marienlyst 3
Thisted FC 2
Skanderborg 0
Hobro 4
Silkeborg 8
FC Fyn 2
Langeskov 0
Randers FC 5
Naestved IF 3
Allerod 1
BK Frem 0
Naesby 2
Nordsjaelland 6
Hillerod 0
Tjorring 0
Vendsyssel FF 3
Jaegersborg 3
Sollerod-Ved. 0
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Brondby -
TBD -
Kastrup 1
Helsingor 4
Slagelse 5
BSF 0
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
1/16-finals
Horsens 3
AB Copenhagen 0
Aars IK 2
Herlev 5
Viborg 1
Holbaek 0
Odense 0
Fredericia 1
Vejle 5
Ringkobing 1
Hvidovre IF 2
Aarhus 3
Roskilde 2
Svendborg 1
Esbjerg 1
Koge 3
Sonderjyske 1
Svebolle 0
Marienlyst 1
Hobro 4
Silkeborg 2
Randers FC 1
Naestved IF 1
Naesby 2
Nordsjaelland 2
Vendsyssel FF 0
Jaegersborg 0
Midtjylland 6
Brondby 4
Helsingor 0
Slagelse 0
FC Copenhagen 2
1/8-finals
Horsens 3
Herlev 2
Viborg 1
Fredericia 2
Vejle 1
Aarhus 0
Roskilde 1
Koge 2
Sonderjyske 2
Hobro 0
Silkeborg 3
Naesby 4
Nordsjaelland 1
Midtjylland 0
Brondby 0
FC Copenhagen 3
Quarter-finals
Horsens 2
Fredericia 1
Vejle 1
Koge 2
Sonderjyske 5
Naesby 1
Nordsjaelland 0
FC Copenhagen 2
Semi-finals
Horsens 3
Koge 2
Sonderjyske 4
FC Copenhagen 4
Final
Horsens 0
FC Copenhagen 1