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Abahani Limited Dhaka vs Chattogram - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL Sheikh Fazlul Haque Mani Stadium, Gopalganj
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
08:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Abahani Limited Dhaka host Chattogram in the BFL. This has Abahani Limited Dhaka written all over it on paper. Abahani Limited Dhaka have averaged 1.97 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against Chattogram's 0.5 scored and 3 conceded. Head-to-head, Abahani Limited Dhaka have won 0 to Chattogram's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 25, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 0.54, favoring Abahani Limited Dhaka. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Abahani Limited Dhaka
33%
Draws
9%
Chattogram
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Abahani Limited Dhaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Chattogram haven't matched Abahani Limited Dhaka's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Abahani Limited Dhaka taking it.
  • Regular BFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Abahani Limited Dhaka Clean Sheet 20%
Chattogram Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abahani Limited Dhaka Chattogram
Matches Played 29 4
Wins 15 0
Draws 8 1
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.97 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.86 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Federation Cup
Abahani Limited Dhaka vs Chattogram
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abahani Limited Dhaka 85 / 100
Chattogram 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abahani Limited Dhaka Chattogram

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Abahani Limited Dhaka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chattogram let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Abahani Limited Dhaka found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Abahani Limited Dhaka remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Abahani Limited Dhaka VS Chattogram
2 Goals Scored 0.33
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Abahani Limited Dhaka

(Home)
03 Oct
Dhaka Wanderers
1 : 5
Abahani Limited Dhaka
25 Sept
Abahani Limited Dhaka
1 : 1
Chattogram
18 Sept
PWD Sports Club
0 : 0
Abahani Limited Dhaka
23 May
Arambagh
0 : 4
Abahani Limited Dhaka
15 May
Abahani Limited Dhaka
0 : 2
Bashundara Kings
Page 1 of 6

Chattogram

(Away)
09 Oct
City Club
2 : 1
Chattogram
02 Oct
Chattogram
0 : 3
Bangladesh Police
25 Sept
Abahani Limited Dhaka
1 : 1
Chattogram
18 Sept
Fortis
6 : 0
Chattogram

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bangladesh Police 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Fortis 3 2 1 0 15:3 7
3 City Club 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
4 Mohammedan 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
5 Bashundara Kings 2 1 1 0 8:1 4
6 Abahani Limited Dhaka 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
7 PWD Sports Club 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
8 Fakirerpool YMC 3 1 0 2 2:10 3
9 Rahmatgonj MFS 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
10 Arambagh 3 0 2 1 3:9 2
11 Brothers U. 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
12 Chattogram 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
13 Dhaka Wanderers 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
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