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Abbey Villa vs Shankill

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2014/2015
Abbey Villa Logo

Abbey Villa

1 - 2
FT
Shankill Logo

Shankill

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Shankill advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Abbey Villa
15%
Draws
39%
Shankill
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Abbey Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Shankill have managed 1.79 goals a game lately — Abbey Villa are scoring more at 2.05.
  • Abbey Villa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Shankill, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Abbey Villa Clean Sheet 10%
Shankill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abbey Villa Shankill
Matches Played 21 19
Wins 10 10
Draws 1 1
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.05 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.05 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2014 Irish Cup
Abbey Villa vs Shankill
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abbey Villa 47 / 100
Shankill 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abbey Villa Shankill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Abbey Villa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shankill let in goals in 84% of their last 19 matches.

Abbey Villa's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Abbey Villa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Abbey Villa VS Shankill
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Abbey Villa

(Home)
23 Jul
Abbey Villa
2 : 2
Ards
17 Aug
St. James' Swifts
4 : 1
Abbey Villa
05 Jan
Portadown
5 : 1
Abbey Villa
01 Dec
Tullycarnet
3 : 4
Abbey Villa
03 Nov
Shorts
1 : 3
Abbey Villa
Page 1 of 5

Shankill

(Away)
28 Sept
Shankill
1 : 4
Lisburn Rangers
03 Nov
Shankill
2 : 4
Lisburn Distillery
29 Sept
Shankill
2 : 1
Bangor Old Boys
02 Dec
Shankill
0 : 4
Crumlin Star
04 Nov
Hanover
2 : 3
Shankill
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Brantwood 2
Drumaness 1
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tandragee 2
Banbridge Rangers 0
TBD -
Loughgall -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Foundry 6
St. Marys 1
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Newtowne FC 5
East Belfast 3
U. U. Jordanstown 0
Crumlin United 3
Shankill 2
Abbey Villa 1
TBD -
Armagh -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Bangor Old Boys 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Annagh -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
Oxford Stars 2
Derriaghy 4
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers 2
Ards Rangers 7
Crumlin Star 2
Immaculata 0
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Newry City 4
Hanover 0
TBD -
Portstewart -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
Queens University 2
Newington FC 3
Brantwood 2
Coagh Utd 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Bangor FC 2
Institute -
TBD -
Tandragee 2
Loughgall 6
Larne 1
Dergview 0
Foundry 1
Carrick Rangers 4
Glentoran -
TBD -
Banbridge 1
Ards 4
Newtowne FC 4
Crumlin United 1
Shankill 0
Armagh 2
Ballyclare 3
Donegal 2
Bangor Old Boys 0
Annagh 3
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Harland & Wolff 2
Dollingstown 0
Wakehurst 2
Derriaghy 3
Moyola 3
Glebe 2
TBD -
Glenavon -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure 2
Ards Rangers 6
Crumlin Star 1
Lisburn Distillery 0
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
Knockbreda 1
PSNI 2
Dundela 4
Ballymoney 1
Newry City 1
Portstewart 2
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Tobermore 3
Limavady 1
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Crusaders 6
Newington FC 0
Brantwood 0
Bangor FC 4
Institute 5
Loughgall 1
Larne 1
Carrick Rangers 2
Glentoran 2
Ards 0
Newtowne FC 0
Armagh 3
Ballyclare 3
Annagh 1
Ballinamallard 2
Dungannon 4
Harland & Wolff 2
Derriaghy 0
Moyola 2
Glenavon 3
Cliftonville 6
Ards Rangers 0
Crumlin Star 0
Ballymena 4
Portadown 2
PSNI 1
Dundela 2
Portstewart 3
Warrenpoint 3
Coleraine 1
Tobermore 0
Linfield 2
1/8-finals
Crusaders 2
Bangor FC 0
Institute 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Glentoran 4
Armagh 1
Ballyclare 0
Dungannon 1
Harland & Wolff 2
Glenavon 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 2
Portadown 2
Portstewart 0
Warrenpoint 0
Linfield 5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Glentoran 3
Dungannon 0
Harland & Wolff 2
Ballymena 3
Portadown 3
Linfield 2
Semi-finals
Crusaders 0
Glentoran 1
Ballymena 1
Portadown 3
Final
Glentoran 1
Portadown 0