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ABC vs Aguia De Maraba

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Frasqueirao)
ABC Logo

ABC

Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Aguia De Maraba Logo

Aguia De Maraba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ABC play Aguia De Maraba in the Serie D. It looks like a close match. Recently, ABC averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Aguia De Maraba averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, ABC won 0, Aguia De Maraba won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for ABC and 1.69 for Aguia De Maraba. This points to a Aguia De Maraba double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
ABC
22%
Draws
41%
Aguia De Maraba
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Aguia De Maraba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • ABC picked up more points recently compared to Aguia De Maraba.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
ABC Clean Sheet 13%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ABC Aguia De Maraba
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.77 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Serie D
Aguia De Maraba vs ABC
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ABC 36 / 100
Aguia De Maraba 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ABC Aguia De Maraba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aguia De Maraba or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ABC attacking → ← attacking Aguia De Maraba

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ABC scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Aguia De Maraba let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

ABC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Aguia De Maraba lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 50
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63