Sport Picks

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ABC vs Aguia De Maraba

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Frasqueirao), Natal
ABC Logo

ABC

3 - 0
FT
Aguia De Maraba Logo

Aguia De Maraba

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Wendell
Own Goal
83' Event
Jhosefer
90' Event
Wellington Reis
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
ABC
15%
Draws
32%
Aguia De Maraba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ABC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Aguia De Maraba haven't matched ABC's recent run of results.
  • ABC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • ABC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor ABC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
ABC Clean Sheet 68%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ABC Aguia De Maraba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.7 1.57
Goals Conceded 1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Serie D
ABC vs Aguia De Maraba
3:0
Jul 4, 2026 Serie D
Aguia De Maraba vs ABC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ABC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhosefer
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wellington Reis
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Aguia De Maraba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ABC 77 / 100
Aguia De Maraba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ABC Aguia De Maraba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ABC's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aguia De Maraba has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

ABC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ABC VS Aguia De Maraba
1.5 Goals Scored 1.57
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

ABC

(Home)
30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1
Uberlandia
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
ABC
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2
ABC
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
Page 1 of 6

Aguia De Maraba

(Away)
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1
ABC
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0
Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1
Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3