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ABC vs Juazeirense

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Frasqueirao), Natal
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Igor Bahia
(Penalty)
35'
Wellington Reis
41' Event
Igor Bahia

AI Match Summary

ABC in this Copa do Nordeste tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
ABC
6%
Draws
4%
Juazeirense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: ABC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • ABC have won more games recently than Juazeirense.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on ABC taking it.
  • ABC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor ABC, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors ABC here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
ABC Clean Sheet 68%
Juazeirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ABC Juazeirense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
ABC vs Juazeirense
4:0
Jun 23, 2018 Serie C
Juazeirense vs ABC
2:2
Apr 22, 2018 Serie C
ABC vs Juazeirense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ABC Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Bahia
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Pedro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Juazeirense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ABC 95 / 100
Juazeirense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ABC Juazeirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ABC's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Juazeirense conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

ABC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ABC VS Juazeirense
1.63 Goals Scored 0.43
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 29%
25% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

ABC

(Home)
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
18 Jul
Luverdense
0 : 0
ABC
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1
ABC
28 Jun
ABC
1 : 1
AE Altos
Page 1 of 7

Juazeirense

(Away)
28 Jun
Juazeirense
0 : 1
Serra Branca
21 Jun
Serra Branca
2 : 0
Juazeirense
14 Jun
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 1
Juazeirense
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Jacuipense
2 : 2
Juazeirense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Vitoria1
Ceara0
ABC4
Juazeirense0
Confianca1
Fortaleza2
Sport Recife1
ASA0
Semi-finals
Vitoria10
ABC5
Fortaleza3
Sport Recife2
Final
Vitoria4
Fortaleza2