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Abda vs Zalaszentgroti

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Abda play Zalaszentgroti in the Hungarian Cup 2022/2023. Zalaszentgroti are favorites here. Recently, Abda averaged 1.38 goals scored and 3 conceded. Zalaszentgroti averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Abda won 0, Zalaszentgroti won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 28, 2022 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Abda and 2.50 for Zalaszentgroti. This points to a Zalaszentgroti double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Abda
15%
Draws
57%
Zalaszentgroti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalaszentgroti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Abda picked up more points recently compared to Zalaszentgroti.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Abda Clean Sheet 10%
Zalaszentgroti Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abda Zalaszentgroti
Matches Played 8 15
Wins 3 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 3 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2022 Hungarian Cup
Abda vs Zalaszentgroti
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abda 27 / 100
Zalaszentgroti 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abda Zalaszentgroti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalaszentgroti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Zalaszentgroti & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Abda attacking → ← attacking Zalaszentgroti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abda scored in 63% of their last 8 games.

Zalaszentgroti let in goals in 67% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Abda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Zalaszentgroti lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 21
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88