Sport Picks

Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tecnico U. host Macara in the Liga Pro. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Tecnico U. have averaged 1.38 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Macara's 0.63 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Tecnico U. slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.81) point toward Macara. Macara in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Tecnico U.

30%

Draws

34%

Macara

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tecnico U.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Macara has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tecnico U..
Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Tecnico U..
League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Pro provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 20%

Macara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tecnico U.	Macara
Matches Played	28	33
Wins	9	16
Draws	4	9
Losses	15	8
Goals Scored	1.38	0.63
Goals Conceded	1	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Liga Pro

Macara vs Tecnico U.

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Jul 20, 2025 Liga Pro

Tecnico U. vs Macara

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Mar 30, 2025 Liga Pro

Macara vs Tecnico U.

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Feb 11, 2025 Club Friendly

Macara vs Tecnico U.

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

Sep 1, 2024 Liga Pro

Macara vs Tecnico U.

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tecnico U. 36 / 100

Macara 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tecnico U. Macara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tecnico U. scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Macara let in goals in 45% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Tecnico U. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Macara lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tecnico U. VS Macara

1.38 Goals Scored 0.63

1 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	17	13	1	3	36:18	40
2	Barcelona SC	17	8	5	4	20:13	29
3	Aucas	17	8	5	4	20:16	29
4	LDU Quito	17	8	3	6	19:14	27
5	Dep. Cuenca	17	8	3	6	18:19	27
6	U. Catolica	17	7	5	5	28:17	26
7	Tecnico U.	17	7	2	8	19:17	23
8	Macara	17	6	5	6	16:18	23
9	Emelec	17	6	5	6	14:17	23
10	Orense	17	6	4	7	22:24	22
11	Mushuc Runa	17	5	6	6	22:23	21
12	Leones del Norte	17	5	5	7	18:19	20
13	Guayaquil City	17	5	4	8	14:20	19
14	Delfin	17	4	5	8	9:16	17
15	Libertad	17	4	5	8	17:25	17
16	Manta	17	3	3	11	7:23	12